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The problem of quickest change detection is studied in the context of detecting an arbitrary unknown mean-shift in multiple independent Gaussian data streams. The James-Stein estimator is used in constructing detection schemes that exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Topi Halme , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Visa Koivunen

In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

We addressed the problem of detecting the change in behavior of information diffusion from a small amount of observation data, where the behavior changes were assumed to be effectively reflected in changes in the diffusion parameter value.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-10-13 Kouzou Ohara , Kazumi Saito , Masahiro Kimura , Hiroshi Motoda

This paper addresses the problem of detecting change points in the spectral density of time series, motivated by EEG analysis of seizure patients. Seizures disrupt coherence and functional connectivity, necessitating precise detection.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Sepideh Mosaferi , Abolfazl Safikhani , Peiliang Bai

Online updating of time series forecasting models aims to tackle the challenge of concept drifting by adjusting forecasting models based on streaming data. While numerous algorithms have been developed, most of them focus on model design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 YiFan Zhang , Weiqi Chen , Zhaoyang Zhu , Dalin Qin , Liang Sun , Xue Wang , Qingsong Wen , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Rong Jin

In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang

We propose a new sequential monitoring scheme for changes in the parameters of a multivariate time series. In contrast to procedures proposed in the literature which compare an estimator from the training sample with an estimator calculated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Josua Gösmann , Tobias Kley , Holger Dette

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

We consider the problem of efficient on-line anomaly detection in computer network traffic. The problem is approached statistically, as that of sequential (quickest) changepoint detection. A multi-cyclic setting of quickest change detection…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-23 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

Learning a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from a fixed batch of trajectories is a non-trivial task whose outcome's quality depends on both the amount and the diversity of the sampled regions of the state-action space. Yet, many MDPs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Giorgio Angelotti , Nicolas Drougard , Caroline P. C. Chanel

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

A new approach to detect change points based on differential smoothing and multiple testing is presented for long data sequences modeled as piecewise constant functions plus stationary ergodic Gaussian noise. As an application of the STEM…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Dan Cheng , Zhibing He , Armin Schwartzman

We present a general and flexible framework for detecting regime changes in complex, non-stationary data across multi-trial experiments. Traditional change point detection methods focus on identifying abrupt changes within a single time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass B. El-Yaagoubi , Jean-Marc Freyermuth , Hernando Ombao

One important assumption underlying common classification models is the stationarity of the data. However, in real-world streaming applications, the data concept indicated by the joint distribution of feature and label is not stationary but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-10 Shujian Yu , Xiaoyang Wang , Jose C. Principe

This paper discusses change detection in SAR time-series. Firstly, several statistical properties of the coefficient of variation highlight its pertinence for change detection. Then several criteria are proposed. The coefficient of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-19 Elise Colin Koeniguer , Jean-Marie Nicolas

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan

We consider a popular online change-point problem of detecting a transient change in distributions of i.i.d. random variables. For this change-point problem, several change-point procedures are formulated and some advanced results for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Jack Noonan

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

We present a new non-parametric statistic, called the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence, based on empirical distributions for sequential change detection. We start by constructing the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence as a fundamental building block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie