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A set of independence statements may define the independence structure of interest in a family of joint probability distributions. This structure is often captured by a graph that consists of nodes representing the random variables and of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-15 Nanny Wermuth

We study notions of robustness of Markov kernels and probability distribution of a system that is described by $n$ input random variables and one output random variable. Markov kernels can be expanded in a series of potentials that allow to…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Johannes Rauh , Nihat Ay

We study random walks on contingency tables with fixed marginals, corresponding to a (log-linear) hierarchical model. If the set of allowed moves is not a Markov basis, then there exist tables with the same marginals that are not connected.…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Thomas Kahle , Johannes Rauh , Seth Sullivant

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) encode conditional dependencies among random variables using a graph -nodes for variables, links for dependencies- and factorize the joint distribution into lower-dimensional components. This makes PGMs…

We discuss two parameterizations of models for marginal independencies for discrete distributions which are representable by bi-directed graph models, under the global Markov property. Such models are useful data analytic tools especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-01-10 Monia Lupparelli , Giovanni M. Marchetti , Wicher P. Bergsma

We show that, for generative classifiers, conditional independence corresponds to linear constraints for the induced discrimination functions. Discrimination functions of undirected Markov network classifiers can thus be characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Gherardo Varando , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Eva Riccomagno

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

We consider a countable system of interacting (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions and indexed by the vertices of a locally finite graph $G = (V,E)$. The drift of the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

Markov networks are probabilistic graphical models that employ undirected graphs to depict conditional independence relationships among variables. Our focus lies in constraint-based structure learning, which entails learning the undirected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Tuukka Korhonen , Fedor V. Fomin , Pekka Parviainen

Lattice Conditional Independence models are a class of models developed first for the Gaussian case in which a distributive lattice classifies all the conditional independence statements. The main result is that these models can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Peter Caines , Fatemeh Mohammadi , Eduardo Sáenz de Cabezón , Henry Wynn

Symmetric independence relations are often studied using graphical representations. Ancestral graphs or acyclic directed mixed graphs with $m$-separation provide classes of symmetric graphical independence models that are closed under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Søren Wengel Mogensen , Niels Richard Hansen

Decomposable dependency models possess a number of interesting and useful properties. This paper presents new characterizations of decomposable models in terms of independence relationships, which are obtained by adding a single axiom to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 L. M. deCampos

We propose a penalized pseudo-likelihood criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies in a discrete Markov random field that can be partially observed. We prove the convergence of the estimator in the case of a finite or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Florencia Leonardi , Rodrigo R. S. Carvalho

We consider the problem of learning a set of direct causes of a target variable from an observational joint distribution. Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that represent the causal structure is a fundamental problem in science.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Juraj Bodik , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Directed acyclic graph models with hidden variables have been much studied, particularly in view of their computational efficiency and connection with causal methods. In this paper we provide the circumstances under which it is possible for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Robin J. Evans

Causal inference methods based on conditional independence construct Markov equivalent graphs, and cannot be applied to bivariate cases. The approaches based on independence of cause and mechanism state, on the contrary, that causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Nataliya Sokolovska , Pierre-Henri Wuillemin

DAG models are statistical models satisfying a collection of conditional independence relations encoded by the nonedges of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) $\mathcal{G}$. Such models are used to model complex cause-effect systems across a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan , Liam Solus , Caroline Uhler

We study conditional independence relationships for random networks and their interplay with exchangeability. We show that, for finitely exchangeable network models, the empirical subgraph densities are maximum likelihood estimates of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Steffen Lauritzen , Alessandro Rinaldo , Kayvan Sadeghi

We present a new kind of structural Markov property for probabilistic laws on decomposable graphs, which allows the explicit control of interactions between cliques, so is capable of encoding some interesting structure. We prove the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-20 Peter J Green , Alun Thomas
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