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We scrutinize the use of machine learning, based on reservoir computing, to build data-driven effective models of multiscale chaotic systems. We show that, for a wide scale separation, machine learning generates effective models akin to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-11-11 Francesco Borra , Angelo Vulpiani , Massimo Cencini

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

This paper addresses a common problem with hierarchical time series. Time series analysis demands the series for a model to be the sum of multiple series at corresponding sub-levels. Hierarchical Time Series presents a two-fold problem.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-27 Seema Sangari , Xinyan Zhang

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems can undergo rapid transitions relative to the change in their forcing, for example due to the occurrence of multiple equilibrium solutions for a specific interval of parameters. In this paper, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-12 S. Baars , D. Castellana , F. W. Wubs , H. A. Dijkstra

Methods for the reduction of the complexity of computational problems are presented, as well as their connections to renormalization, scaling, and irreversible statistical mechanics. Several statistically stationary cases are analyzed; for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexandre J. Chorin , Panagiotis Stinis

A systematic procedure to synthesize interval observers for nonlinear discrete-time systems is proposed. The feedback gains and other matrices are found from the solutions to semidefinite feasibility programs. Two cases are considered: (1)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Adam M Tahir , Behcet Acikmese

We consider {\it small solutions} of a vibrating system with smooth non-linearities for which we provide an approximate solution by using a double scale analysis; a rigorous proof of convergence of a double scale expansion is included; for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-24 Nadia Ben Brahim , Bernard Rousselet

Multivariate time series are ubiquitous objects in signal processing. Measuring a distance or similarity between two such objects is of prime interest in a variety of applications, including machine learning, but can be very difficult as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-02 Titouan Vayer , Romain Tavenard , Laetitia Chapel , Nicolas Courty , Rémi Flamary , Yann Soullard

We consider the problem of optimizing time averages in systems with independent and identically distributed behavior over renewal frames. This includes scheduling and task processing to maximize utility in stochastic networks with variable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-11-30 Michael J. Neely

A computational tool for coarse-graining nonlinear systems of ordinary differential equations in time is discussed. Three illustrative model examples are worked out that demonstrate the range of capability of the method. This includes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Amit Acharya , Zvi Artstein

We analyze the accuracy and sample complexity of variational Monte Carlo approaches to simulate the dynamics of many-body quantum systems classically. By systematically studying the relevant stochastic estimators, we are able to: (i) prove…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-11 Alessandro Sinibaldi , Clemens Giuliani , Giuseppe Carleo , Filippo Vicentini

It is difficult to analyze the stability of systems with time-varying delays. One approach is to construct a time-transformation that converts the system into a form with a constant delay but with a time-varying scalar appearing in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Jungbae Chun , Sengiyumva Kisole , Matthew M. Peet , Peter Seiler

The generalized-$\alpha$ time-marching method provides second-order accuracy in time and controls the numerical dissipation in the high-frequency region of the discrete spectrum. This method includes a wide range of time integrators. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Pouria Behnoudfar , Quanling Deng , Victor M. Calo

We study localisation transition in a class of quasi-periodic systems that has two competing periodic scales. We show that such class of systems show a re-entrant localisation transition where the energy scale of transition is set by the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-03-01 Parvathy S Nair , Dintomon Joy , Sambuddha Sanyal

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

We propose a new approach to linear ill-posed inverse problems. Our algorithm alternates between enforcing two constraints: the measurements and the statistical correlation structure in some transformed space. We use a non-linear multiscale…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Ivan Dokmanić , Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Maarten de Hoop

Mobile communication channels are often modeled as linear time-varying filters or, equivalently, as time-frequency integral operators with finite support in time and frequency. Such a characterization inherently assumes the signals are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Scott T. Rickard , Radu V. Balan , H. Vincent Poor , Sergio Verdu

Time Series Forecasting is at the core of many practical applications such as sales forecasting for business, rainfall forecasting for agriculture and many others. Though this problem has been extensively studied for years, it is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Anirban Chatterjee , Subhadip Paul , Uddipto Dutta , Smaranya Dey

Chemical reactions modeled by ordinary differential equations are finite-dimensional dissipative dynamical systems with multiple time-scales. They are numerically hard to tackle -- especially when they enter an optimal control problem as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Marcus Heitel , Dirk Lebiedz

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…