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In this article, we present a new approach to averaging in non-Hamiltonian systems with periodic forcing. The results here do not depend on the existence of a small parameter. In fact, we show that our averaging method fits into an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Michael Ghil , Jean Roux , Ferenc Varadi

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

A novel method to solve inverse problems for the wave equation is introduced. The method is a combination of the boundary control method and an iterative time reversal scheme, leading to adaptive imaging of coefficient functions of the wave…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Kenrick Bingham , Yaroslav Kurylev , Matti Lassas , Samuli Siltanen

Mass scaling is widely used in finite element models of structural dynamics for increasing the critical time step of explicit time integration methods. While the field has been flourishing over the years, it still lacks a strong theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Yannis Voet , Espen Sande , Annalisa Buffa

In this paper, we have established a unified framework of multistage parameter estimation. We demonstrate that a wide variety of statistical problems such as fixed-sample-size interval estimation, point estimation with error control,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We present new tight bounds for averaging differential inclusions, which we apply to multi-frequency inclusions consisting of a sum of time periodic set-valued mappings. For this family of inclusions we establish an a tight estimate of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Ido Bright

Kinetic equations model distributions of particles in position-velocity phase space. Often, one is interested in studying the long-time behavior of particles in high-collisional regimes in which an approximate (advection)-diffusion model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Emil Løvbak , Giovanni Samaey , Stefan Vandewalle

This article illustrates the application of multiple scales analysis to two archetypal quasilinear systems; i.e. to systems involving fast dynamical modes, called fluctuations, that are not directly influenced by fluctuation--fluctuation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-14 G. Michel , G. P. Chini

For any stream of time-stamped edges that form a dynamic network, an important choice is the aggregation granularity that an analyst uses to bin the data. Picking such a windowing of the data is often done by hand, or left up to the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Benjamin Fish , Rajmonda S. Caceres

We study a stochastic model based on a modified fragmentation of a finite interval. The mechanism consists in cutting the interval at a random location and substituting a unique fragment on the right of the cut to regenerate and preserve…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Jean-Yves Fortin

This paper introduces an algorithmic approach to the analysis of bifurcation of limit cycles from the centers of nonlinear continuous differential systems via the averaging method. We develop three algorithms to implement the averaging…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Bo Huang , Chee Yap

This paper considers the approximation of the continuous time filtering equation for the case of a multiple timescale (slow-intermediate, and fast scales) that may have correlation between the slow-intermediate process and the observation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Ryne Beeson , N. Sri Namachchivaya , Nicolas Perkowski

Noise-induced transitions between metastable fixed points in systems evolving on multiple time scales are analyzed in situations where the time scale separation gives rise to a slow manifold with bifurcation. This analysis is performed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-05 Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Motivated by recent problems in mathematical cosmology, in which temporal averaging methods are applied in order to analyze the future asymptotics of models which exhibit oscillatory behavior, we provide a theorem concerning the large-time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-03 David Fajman , Gernot Heißel , Jin Woo Jang

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna