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A Two-Stage approach enables researchers to make optimal non-linear predictions via Generalized Ridge Regression using models that contain two or more x-predictor variables and make only realistic minimal assumptions. The optimal regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Robert L. Obenchain

The paper provides an overview of the theory and applications of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. The term 'risk-sensitive' refers here to the use of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent as a means to measure expectation and risk.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

A theory of Ruelle-Pollicott (RP) resonances for stochastic differential systems is presented. These resonances are defined as the eigenvalues of the generator (Kolmogorov operator) of a given stochastic system. By relying on the theory of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Mickaël Chekroun , Alexis Tantet , Henk Anton Dijkstra , J. David Neelin

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

An algorithm is presented which generates pairs of oscillatory random time series which have identical periodograms but differ in the number of oscillations. This result indicate the intrinsic limitations of spectral methods when it comes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. G. Rossberg

Optimal measurements for quantum multiparameter estimation are complicated by the uncertainty principle. Generally, there is a trade-off between the precision with which different parameters can be simultaneously estimated. The task of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-20 Simon K. Yung , C. M. Yung , Lorcán O. Conlon , Syed M. Assad

The problem of mean-square optimal linear estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unknown values of a multidimensional stationary stochastic sequence from observations of the sequence with a noise and missing observations is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Oleksandr Masyutka , Mikhail Moklyachuk , Maria Sidei

The idea of iterative process optimization based on collected output measurements, or "real-time optimization" (RTO), has gained much prominence in recent decades, with many RTO algorithms being proposed, researched, and developed. While…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Gene A. Bunin , Grégory François , Dominique Bonvin

The Robust Satisficing (RS) model is an emerging approach to robust optimization, offering streamlined procedures and robust generalization across various applications. However, the statistical theory of RS remains unexplored in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-03 Zhiyi Li , Yunbei Xu , Ruohan Zhan

In this paper, we report stochastic resonance (SR) in a single electron turnstile. It has been known that SR emerges by the cooperation of a weak periodic signal and noise in a bistable system. A periodic signal produces switching between…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-10-16 Hisanao Akima , Shigeo Sato , Koji Nakajima

The problem of the mean-square optimal estimation of the linear functionals which depend on the unknown values of a stochastic stationary sequence from observations of the sequence in special sets of points is considered. Formulas for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Oleksandr Masyutka , Mikhail Moklyachuk

We analyze the physics of optimal protocols to prepare a target state with high fidelity in a symmetrically coupled two-qubit system. By varying the protocol duration, we find a discontinuous phase transition, which is characterized by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-17 Marin Bukov , Alexandre G. R. Day , Phillip Weinberg , Anatoli Polkovnikov , Pankaj Mehta , Dries Sels

It is notoriously difficult to apply statistical mechanics to generally covariant systems, because the notions of time, energy and equilibrium are seriously modified in this context. We discuss the conditions under which weaker versions of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-06-15 Goffredo Chirco , Thibaut Josset , Carlo Rovelli

A fully discrete finite difference scheme for stochastic reaction-diffusion equations driven by a $1+1$-dimensional white noise is studied. The optimal strong rate of convergence is proved without posing any regularity assumption on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Oleg Butkovsky , Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér

We study the problem of sequentially testing whether a given stochastic process is generated by a known Markov chain. Formally, given access to a stream of random variables, we want to quickly determine whether this sequence is a trajectory…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-24 Greg Fields , Tara Javidi , Shubhanshu Shekhar

We consider stochastic convex optimization problems where the objective is an expectation over smooth functions. For this setting we suggest a novel gradient estimate that combines two recent mechanism that are related to notion of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Tehila Dahan , Kfir Y. Levy

We present a renormalized second-order perturbation theory (rPT2), based on a Kohn-Sham (KS) reference state, for the electron correlation energy that includes the random-phase approximation (RPA), second-order screened exchange (SOSEX),…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-01-11 Xinguo Ren , Patrick Rinke , Gustavo E. Scuseria , Matthias Scheffler

We study sequential multiple testing with independent data streams, where the goal is to identify an unknown subset of signals while controlling commonly used error metrics, including generalized familywise rates and false discovery and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jingyu Liu , Yanglei Song

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

The thermodynamic uncertainty relation is a prominent result in stochastic thermodynamics that provides a bound on the fluctuations of any thermodynamic flux, also known as current, in terms of the average rate of entropy production. Such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-22 Taylor Wampler , Andre C Barato