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Quantum cognition in decision-making is a recent and rapidely growing field. In this paper we develop an expected utility theory in a context of non-classical (quantum) uncertainty. We replace the classical state space with a Hilbert space…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-29 Vladimir V. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky , Vassily Vergopoulos

We consider a sequence of repeated interactions between an agent and an environment. Uncertainty about the environment is captured by a probability distribution over a space of hypotheses, which includes all computable functions. Given a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-12-02 Peter de Blanc

If uncertainty is modelled by a probability measure, decisions are typically made by choosing the option with the highest expected utility. If an imprecise probability model is used instead, this decision rule can be generalised in several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Jasper De Bock

The von Neumann-Morgenstern (VNM) utility theorem shows that under certain axioms of rationality, decision-making is reduced to maximizing the expectation of some utility function. We extend these axioms to increasingly structured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Mehran Shakerinava , Siamak Ravanbakhsh

Classic decision-theory is based on the maximum expected utility (MEU) principle, but crucially ignores the resource costs incurred when determining optimal decisions. Here we propose an axiomatic framework for bounded decision-making that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-09 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

Numerous formalisms and dedicated algorithms have been designed in the last decades to model and solve decision making problems. Some formalisms, such as constraint networks, can express "simple" decision problems, while others are designed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-13 C. Pralet , T. Schiex , G. Verfaillie

We implement nonparametric revealed-preference tests of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. We find that a majority of subjects' choices are consistent with the maximization of some utility function. They respond to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Federico Echenique , Taisuke Imai , Kota Saito

It is standard in computational social choice to analyse welfare considerations under the assumptions of normalized utilities. In this note, we summarize some common reasons for this approach. We then mention another justification which is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Haris Aziz

We propose a new measure of deviations from expected utility theory. For any positive number~$e$, we give a characterization of the datasets with a rationalization that is within~$e$ (in beliefs, utility, or perceived prices) of expected…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-15 Federico Echenique , Kota Saito , Taisuke Imai

Expected utility theory (EUT) is widely used in economic theory. However, its subjective probability formulation, first elaborated by Savage, is linked to Ellsberg-like paradoxes and ambiguity aversion. This has led various scholars to work…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Diederik Aerts , Emmanuel Haven , Sandro Sozzo

This paper introduces a space of variable lotteries and proves a constructive version of the expected utility theorem. The word ``constructive'' is used here in two senses. First, as in constructive mathematics, the logic underlying proofs…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-28 Kislaya Prasad

Influence diagrams provide a compact graphical representation of decision problems. Several algorithms for the quick computation of their associated expected utilities are available in the literature. However, often they rely on a full…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno , Jim Q. Smith

We introduce a new class of graphical representations, expected utility networks (EUNs), and discuss some of its properties and potential applications to artificial intelligence and economic theory. In EUNs not only probabilities, but also…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Pierfrancesco La Mura , Yoav Shoham

Gilboa and Schmeidler's (1989) uncertainty aversion plays a central role in decision theory and economics, yet many inconsistent behaviors have been observed in experiments. Motivated by this, we study an axiom postulating a minimal degree…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-22 Kensei Nakamura , Shohei Yanagita

We establish a variety of numerical representations of preference relations induced by set-valued risk measures. Because of the general incompleteness of such preferences, we have to deal with multi-utility representations. We look for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-10 Cosimo Munari

We present a necessary and sufficient condition for Alt's system to be represented by a continuous utility function. Moreover, we present a necessary and sufficient condition for this utility function to be concave. The latter condition can…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-15 Yuhki Hosoya

Decision theory does not traditionally include uncertainty over utility functions. We argue that the a person's utility value for a given outcome can be treated as we treat other domain attributes: as a random variable with a density…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Urszula Chajewska , Daphne Koller

Diversification represents the idea of choosing variety over uniformity. Within the theory of choice, desirability of diversification is axiomatized as preference for a convex combination of choices that are equivalently ranked. This…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-07 Enrico G. De Giorgi , Ola Mahmoud

This paper shows how we can combine logical representations of actions and decision theory in such a manner that seems natural for both. In particular we assume an axiomatization of the domain in terms of situation calculus, using what is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David L. Poole

The use of von Neumann -- Morgenstern utility is examined in the context of multiple choices between lotteries. Different conclusions are reached if the choices are simultaneous or sequential. It is demonstrated that utility cannot be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Nimrod Megiddo