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We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called $\alpha$-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of $\alpha$-VB with $\alpha=1$. When…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

We approximate the distribution of the sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables using a shifted binomial distribution where the three parameters (the number of trials, the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-02 Vydas Čekanavičius , Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Michael Shwartz

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

We consider the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses at high-temperature and no external field, and study the problem of sampling from the Gibbs distribution $\mu$ in polynomial time. We prove that, for any inverse temperature…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Ahmed El Alaoui , Andrea Montanari , Mark Sellke

Denoising diffusion models have driven significant progress in the field of Bayesian inverse problems. Recent approaches use pre-trained diffusion models as priors to solve a wide range of such problems, only leveraging inference-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Yazid Janati , Badr Moufad , Mehdi Abou El Qassime , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

Associated to each complex-valued random variable satisfying appropriate integrability conditions, we introduce a different generalization of the Stirling numbers of the second kind. Various equivalent definitions are provided. Attention,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 José A. Adell

The beta-negative binomial process (BNBP), an integer-valued stochastic process, is employed to partition a count vector into a latent random count matrix. As the marginal probability distribution of the BNBP that governs the exchangeable…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-05 Mingyuan Zhou

The current standard Bayesian approach to model calibration, which assigns a Gaussian process prior to the discrepancy term, often suffers from issues of unidentifiability and computational complexity and instability. When the goal is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-13 Spencer Woody , Novin Ghaffari , Lauren Hund

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

A two-parameter family of exchangeable partitions with a simple updating rule is introduced. The partition is identified with a randomized version of a standard symmetric Dirichlet species-sampling model with finitely many types. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-27 Alexander Gnedin

Solving ill-posed inverse problems by Bayesian inference has recently attracted considerable attention. Compared to deterministic approaches, the probabilistic representation of the solution by the posterior distribution can be exploited to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Felix Lucka

For any $d \geq 1$, random $\mathbb{Z}^d$ shifts of finite type (SFTs) were defined in previous work of the authors. For a parameter $\alpha \in [0,1]$, an alphabet $\mathcal{A}$, and a scale $n \in \mathbb{N}$, one obtains a distribution…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Kevin McGoff , Ronnie Pavlov

Bayesian posterior distributions are widely used for inference, but their dependence on a statistical model creates some challenges. In particular, there may be lots of nuisance parameters that require prior distributions and posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

We show by a surprisingly simple argument that the exchangeability condition, which is key to the exchangeable pair approach in Stein's method for distributional approximation, can be omitted in many standard settings. This is achieved by…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Adrian Röllin

In this paper, we introduce weighted fractional generalized cumulative past entropy of a nonnegative absolutely continuous random variable with bounded support. Various properties of the proposed weighted fractional measure are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Suchandan Kayal , N. Balakrishnan

P-splines provide a flexible setting for modeling nonlinear model components based on a discretized penalty structure with a relatively simple computational backbone. Under a Bayesian inferential framework based on Markov chain Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Oswaldo Gressani , Paul H. C. Eilers

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

We study approximation methods for a large class of mixed models with a probit link function that includes mixed versions of the binomial model, the multinomial model, and generalized survival models. The class of models is special because…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Hedvig Kjellström , Keith Humphreys

We derive the class of normalized generalized Gamma processes from Poisson-Kingman models (Pitman, 2003) with tempered alfa-stable mixing distribution. Relying on this construction it can be shown that in Bayesian nonparametrics, results on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-14 Annalisa Cerquetti
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