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An establishment's average wage, computed from administrative wage data, has been found to be related to occupational wages. These occupational wages are a primary outcome variable for the Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Nicholas J. Horton , Daniell Toth , Polly Phipps

In the past several years a wide range of methods for the construction of regression trees and other estimators based on the recursive partitioning of samples have appeared in the statistics literature. Many applications involve data…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-07 Daniell Toth , John Eltinge

We introduce a method to make inference on the composition of a heterogeneous population using survey data, accounting for the possibility that capture heterogeneity is related to key survey variables. To deal with nonignorable nonresponse,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Veronica Ballerini , Brunero Liseo

We propose a statistical model to estimate population proportions under the survey variable cause model (Groves 2006), the setting in which the characteristic measured by the survey has a direct causal effect on survey participation. For…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jonathan Auerbach

Nonresponse is present in almost all surveys and can severely bias estimates. It is usually distinguished between unit and item nonresponse: in the former, we completely fail to have information from a unit selected in the sample, while in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Alina Matei , M. Giovanna Ranalli

We introduce a novel interpretable tree based algorithm for prediction in a regression setting. Our motivation is to estimate the unknown regression function from a functional decomposition perspective in which the functional components…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

Many political surveys rely on post-stratification, raking, or related weighting adjustments to align respondents with the target population. But when respondents differ from nonrespondents on the outcome itself (nonignorable nonresponse),…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lukáš Lafférs , Jozef Michal Mintal , Ivan Sutóris

In binary and ordinal regression one can distinguish between a location component and a scaling component. While the former determines the location within the range of the response categories, the scaling indicates variance heterogeneity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-31 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

Nonresponse arises frequently in surveys and follow-ups are routinely made to increase the response rate. In order to monitor the follow-up process, callback data have been used in social sciences and survey studies for decades. In modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Wang Miao , Xinyu Li , Ping Zhang , Baoluo Sun

Auxiliary information can increase the efficiency of survey estimators through an assisting model when the model captures some of the relationship between the auxiliary data and the study variables. Despite their superior properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Kelly S. McConville , Daniell Toth

In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting survey response rates using a family of flexible and interpretable nonparametric models. The study is motivated by the US Census Bureau's well-known ROAM application, which uses a linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Shibal Ibrahim , Peter Radchenko , Emanuel Ben-David , Rahul Mazumder

Analysis of sample survey data often requires adjustments to account for missing data in the outcome variables of principal interest. Standard adjustment methods based on item imputation or on propensity weighting factors rely heavily on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Wei-Yin Loh , John Eltinge , MoonJung Cho , Yuanzhi Li

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

We develop a theoretical framework for the analysis of oblique decision trees, where the splits at each decision node occur at linear combinations of the covariates (as opposed to conventional tree constructions that force axis-aligned…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Jason M. Klusowski

Regression trees and their ensemble methods are popular methods for nonparametric regression: they combine strong predictive performance with interpretable estimators. To improve their utility for locally smooth response surfaces, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Sören R. Künzel , Theo F. Saarinen , Edward W. Liu , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Regression trees have emerged as a preeminent tool for solving real-world regression problems due to their ability to deal with nonlinearities, interaction effects and sharp discontinuities. In this article, we rather study regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Nathan Wycoff

We present Collaborative Trees, a novel tree model designed for regression prediction, along with its bagging version, which aims to analyze complex statistical associations between features and uncover potential patterns inherent in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Chien-Ming Chi

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis
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