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It has been assumed that arbitrage profits are not possible in efficient markets, because future prices are not predictable. Here we show that predictability alone is not a sufficient measure of market efficiency. We instead propose to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

We study an optimal wage band problem in a competitive matching labor market where education signals worker ability. We prove uniqueness of the competitive signaling equilibrium under a general class of utility and profit functions and show…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Seungjin Han , Alex Sam , Youngki Shin

In the past, financial stock markets have been studied with previous generations of multi-agent systems (MAS) that relied on zero-intelligence agents, and often the necessity to implement so-called noise traders to sub-optimally emulate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-14 J. Lussange , S. Bourgeois-Gironde , S. Palminteri , B. Gutkin

We study a Markov matching market involving a planner and a set of strategic agents on the two sides of the market. At each step, the agents are presented with a dynamical context, where the contexts determine the utilities. The planner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Yifei Min , Tianhao Wang , Ruitu Xu , Zhaoran Wang , Michael I. Jordan , Zhuoran Yang

In revenue maximization of selling a digital product in a social network, the utility of an agent is often considered to have two parts: a private valuation, and linearly additive influences from other agents. We study the incomplete…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-09-27 Wei Chen , Pinyan Lu , Xiaorui Sun , Bo Tang , Yajun Wang , Zeyuan Allen Zhu

The field of artificial intelligence (AI) agents is evolving rapidly, driven by the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) to autonomously perform and refine tasks with human-like efficiency and adaptability. In this context,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-18 Tianjiao Zhao , Jingrao Lyu , Stokes Jones , Harrison Garber , Stefano Pasquali , Dhagash Mehta

We study the propensity of independent algorithms to collude in repeated Cournot duopoly games. Specifically, we investigate the predictive power of different oligopoly and bargaining solutions regarding the effect of asymmetry between…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-14 Simon Martin , Hans-Theo Normann , Paul Püplichhuisen , Tobias Werner

We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , J. Raboanary , M. Serva

We analyze competition on nonlinear prices in homogeneous goods markets with consumer search. In equilibrium firms offer two-part tariffs consisting of a linear price and lump-sum fee. The equilibrium production is socially efficient as the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-01 Atabek Atayev

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

We study the aggregate welfare and individual regret guarantees of dynamic \emph{pacing algorithms} in the context of repeated auctions with budgets. Such algorithms are commonly used as bidding agents in Internet advertising platforms,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jason Gaitonde , Yingkai Li , Bar Light , Brendan Lucier , Aleksandrs Slivkins

Electricity market operators worldwide use mixed-integer linear programming to solve the allocation problem in wholesale electricity markets. Prices are typically determined based on the duals of relaxed versions of this optimization…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Teodora Dobos , Johannes Knörr

We study a pure-exchange incomplete-market economy with heterogeneous agents. In each period, the agents choose how much to save (i.e., invest in a risk-free bond), how much to consume, and which bundle of goods to consume while their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-03-23 Bar Light

We envision a marketplace where diverse entities offer specialized "modules" through APIs, allowing users to compose the outputs of these modules for complex tasks within a given budget. This paper studies the market design problem in such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Kshipra Bhawalkar , Jeff Dean , Christopher Liaw , Aranyak Mehta , Neel Patel

This position paper argues that agentic AI systems should be designed and evaluated as \emph{marginal token allocation economies} rather than as text generators priced by the unit. We follow a single request -- a developer asking a coding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Siqi Zhu

Traditional competitive markets do not account for negative externalities; indirect costs that some participants impose on others, such as the cost of over-appropriating a common-pool resource (which diminishes future stock, and thus…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Panayiotis Danassis , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Haipeng Chen , Milind Tambe , Boi Faltings

Algorithmic collusion has emerged as a central question in AI: Will the interaction between different AI agents deployed in markets lead to collusion? More generally, understanding how emergent behavior, be it a cartel or market dominance…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Ziyi Wang , Carmine Ventre , Maria Polukarov

We study the price of anarchy of mechanisms in the presence of risk-averse agents. Previous work has focused on agents with quasilinear utilities, possibly with a budget. Our model subsumes this as a special case but also captures that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Thomas Kesselheim , Bojana Kodric

We present the first analysis of Fisher markets with buyers that have budget-additive utility functions. Budget-additive utilities are elementary concave functions with numerous applications in online adword markets and revenue optimization…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Xiaohui Bei , Jugal Garg , Martin Hoefer , Kurt Mehlhorn

In the restructured electricity industry, electricity pooling markets are an oligopoly with strategic producers possessing private information (private production cost function). We focus on pooling markets where aggregate demand is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Mohammad Rasouli , Demosthenis Teneketzis