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Branching processes are widely used to model the viral epidemic evolution. For more adequate investigation of viral epidemic modelling, we suggest to apply branching processes with transport of particles usually called branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Elizaveta Ermakova , Polina Makhmutova , Elena Yarovaya

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

We present a model for growth in a multi-species population. We consider two types evolving as a logistic branching process with mutation, where one of the types has a selective advantage, and are interested in the regime in which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Marta Dai Pra , Julian Kern

Environment plays a fundamental role in the competition for resources, and hence in the evolution of populations. Here, we study a well-mixed, finite population consisting of two strains competing for the limited resources provided by an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-16 Karl Wienand , Erwin Frey , Mauro Mobilia

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. It is well known that population structure can affect evolutionary dynamics. Traditionally, natural selection is studied between mutants that differ in reproductive rate, but are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Josef Tkadlec , Kamran Kaveh , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

We consider a minimal go-or-grow model of cell invasion, whereby cells can either proliferate, following logistic growth, or move, via linear diffusion, and phenotypic switching between these two states is density-dependent. Formal analysis…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Carles Falcó , Rebecca M. Crossley , Ruth E. Baker

We consider a fitness-structured population model with competition and migration between nearest neighbors. Under a combination of large population and rare migration limits we are particularly interested in the asymptotic behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-20 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

A key question in evolution is how likely a mutant is to take over. This depends on natural selection and on stochastic fluctuations. Population spatial structure can impact mutant fixation probabilities. We introduce a model for structured…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Loïc Marrec , Irene Lamberti , Anne-Florence Bitbol

We consider immigration processes with binomial catastrophes and random survival parameters. Two sources of randomness are analyzed. In the first model, the survival parameter is independently resampled at each catastrophe. In the second…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Sandro Gallo , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

If one goes backward in time, the number of ancestors of an individual doubles at each generation. This exponential growth very quickly exceeds the population size, when this size is finite. As a consequence, the ancestors of a given…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 B. Derrida , S. C. Manrubia , D. H. Zanette

In any ecosystem, the conditions of the environment and the characteristics of the species that inhabit it are entangled, co-evolving in space and time. We introduce a model that couples active agents with a dynamic environment, interpreted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 G. Briozzo , G. J. Sibona , F. Peruani

A simulation model of a population having internal (genetic) structure is presented. The population is subject to selection pressure coming from the environment which is the same in the whole system but changes in time. Reproduction has a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-08-31 Andrzej Pekalski , Marcel Ausloos

We consider a population of agents that are heterogeneous with respect to (i) their strategy when interacting $n_{g}$ times with other agents in an iterated prisoners dilemma game, (ii) their spatial location on $K$ different islands. After…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-26 Frank Schweitzer , Laxmidhar Behera

Life is on the razor's edge as resulting from competitive birth and death random forces. We illustrate this aphorism in the context of three Markov chain population models where systematic random immigration events promoting growth are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-18 Thierry Huillet

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-21 B. Boldin , O. Diekmann , J. A. J. Metz

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert
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