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We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Many systems of interacting elements can be conceptualized as networks, where network nodes represent the elements and network ties represent interactions between the elements. In systems where the underlying network evolves in time, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Ian Barnett , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We develop theory leading to testing procedures for the presence of a change point in the intraday volatility pattern. The new theory is developed in the framework of Functional Data Analysis. It is based on a model akin to the stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-19 Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

We propose a sequential monitoring scheme to find structural breaks in real estate markets. The changes in the real estate prices are modeled by a combination of linear and autoregressive terms. The monitoring scheme is based on a detector…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-12 Lajos Horváth , Zhenya Liu , Shanglin Lu

This paper proposes different methods to consistently detect multiple breaks in copula-based dependence measures, mainly focusing on Spearman's $\rho$. The leading model is a factor copula model due to its usefulness for analyzing data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Marvin Borsch , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

Change-point processes are one flexible approach to model long time series. We propose a method to uncover which model parameter truly vary when a change-point is detected. Given a set of breakpoints, we use a penalized likelihood approach…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-09 Arnaud Dufays , Aristide Houndetoungan , Alain Coën

In recent years, change point detection for high dimensional data has become increasingly important in many scientific fields. Most literature develop a variety of separate methods designed for specified models (e.g. mean shift model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Yue Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

Models for financial risk often assume that underlying asset returns are stationary. However, there is strong evidence that multivariate financial time series entail changes not only in their within-series dependence structure, but also in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-03 Haeran Cho , Karolos Korkas

This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta

Sequences of random objects arise from many real applications, including high throughput omic data and functional imaging data. Those sequences are usually dependent, non-linear, or even Non-Euclidean, and an important problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Xueqin Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenliang Pan , Xin Chen , Heping Zhang

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Algorithms that detect covariance between pairs of columns in multiple sequence alignments are commonly employed to predict functionally important residues and structural contacts. However, the assumption that co-variance only occurs…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-07 Kyle E. Kreth , Anthony A. Fodor