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Least worst regret (and sometimes minimax) analysis are often used for decision making whenever it is difficult, or inappropriate, to attach probabilities to possible future scenarios. We show that, for each of these two approaches and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Stan Zachary

Decision theory has become widely accepted in the AI community as a useful framework for planning and decision making. Applying the framework typically requires elicitation of some form of probability and utility information. While much…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Vu A. Ha , Peter Haddawy

Most bandit algorithm designs are purely theoretical. Therefore, they have strong regret guarantees, but also are often too conservative in practice. In this work, we pioneer the idea of algorithm design by minimizing the empirical Bayes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-12 Chih-Wei Hsu , Branislav Kveton , Ofer Meshi , Martin Mladenov , Csaba Szepesvari

Decentralized resource allocation is a key problem for large-scale autonomic (or self-managing) computing systems. Motivated by a data center scenario, we explore efficient techniques for resolving resource conflicts via cooperative…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Craig Boutilier , Rajarshi Das , Jeffrey O. Kephart , Gerald Tesauro , William E. Walsh

This study presents an effective global optimization technique designed for multivariate functions that are H\"older continuous. Unlike traditional methods that construct lower bounding proxy functions, this algorithm employs a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

Bayesian optimization is a principled optimization strategy for a black-box objective function. It shows its effectiveness in a wide variety of real-world applications such as scientific discovery and experimental design. In general, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Jungtaek Kim

We study the problems of data compression, gambling and prediction of a sequence $x^n=x_1x_2...x_n$ from an alphabet ${\cal X}$, in terms of regret and expected regret (redundancy) with respect to various smooth families of probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Jun'ichi Takeuchi , Andrew R. Barron

In this correspondence, we introduce a minimax regret criteria to the least squares problems with bounded data uncertainties and solve it using semi-definite programming. We investigate a robust minimax least squares approach that minimizes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Nargiz Kalantarova , Mehmet A. Donmez , Suleyman S. Kozat

We consider the problem of using observational bandit feedback data from multiple heterogeneous data sources to learn a personalized decision policy that robustly generalizes across diverse target settings. To achieve this, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Aldo Gael Carranza , Susan Athey

We derive a conditional version of the classical regret-capacity theorem. This result can be used in universal prediction to find lower bounds on the minimal batch regret, which is a recently introduced generalization of the average regret,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Marco Bondaschi , Michael Gastpar

The expected improvement (EI) is one of the most popular acquisition functions for Bayesian optimization (BO) and has demonstrated good empirical performances in many applications for the minimization of simple regret. However, under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Shouri Hu , Haowei Wang , Zhongxiang Dai , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Szu Hui Ng

This paper presents local asymptotic minimax regret lower bounds for adaptive Linear Quadratic Regulators (LQR). We consider affinely parametrized $B$-matrices and known $A$-matrices and aim to understand when logarithmic regret is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Ingvar Ziemann , Henrik Sandberg

This article describes the mixrandregret command, which extends the randregret command introduced in Guti\'errez-Vargas et al. (2021, The Stata Journal 21: 626-658) incorporating random coefficients for Random Regret Minimization models.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-04 Ziyue Zhu , Álvaro A. Gutiérrez-Vargas , Martina Vandebroek

We investigate the problem of continuous-time causal estimation under a minimax criterion. Let $X^T = \{X_t,0\leq t\leq T\}$ be governed by the probability law $P_{\theta}$ from a class of possible laws indexed by $\theta \in \Lambda$, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Albert No , Tsachy Weissman

We study minimax optimal reinforcement learning in episodic factored Markov decision processes (FMDPs), which are MDPs with conditionally independent transition components. Assuming the factorization is known, we propose two model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Yi Tian , Jian Qian , Suvrit Sra

This paper introduces a new problem-dependent regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses. The notion, which we call the $G^\star$ regret, depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm evaluated at the decision in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Wenzhi Gao , Chang He , Madeleine Udell

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for optimizing an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. In particular, the effectiveness of expected improvement (EI) has been demonstrated in a wide range of applications. However, theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Shion Takeno , Yu Inatsu , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

We study consumption dependence in the context of random utility and repeated choice. We show that, in the presence of consumption dependence, the random utility model is a misspecified model of repeated rational choice. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-01 Christopher Turansick

First-price auctions are one of the most popular mechanisms for selling goods and services, with applications ranging from display advertising to timber sales. Unlike their close cousin, the second-price auction, first-price auctions do not…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Rachitesh Kumar , Omar Mouchtaki

Estimation of information theoretic quantities such as mutual information and its conditional variant has drawn interest in recent times owing to their multifaceted applications. Newly proposed neural estimators for these quantities have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Arnab Kumar Mondal , Arnab Bhattacharya , Sudipto Mukherjee , Prathosh AP , Sreeram Kannan , Himanshu Asnani