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The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

We model the behavior of three agent classes acting dynamically in a limit order book of a financial asset. Namely, we consider market makers (MM), high-frequency trading (HFT) firms, and institutional brokers (IB). Given a prior dynamic of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-12 Nicolas Baradel , Bruno Bouchard , David Evangelista , Othmane Mounjid

Inventory and queueing systems are often designed by controlling weighted combination of some time-averaged performance metrics (like cumulative holding, shortage, server-utilization or congestion costs); but real-world constraints, like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Madhu Dhiman , Veeraruna Kavitha , Nandyala Hemachandra

We consider a sequential decision-making setting where, at every round $t$, a market maker posts a bid price $B_t$ and an ask price $A_t$ to an incoming trader (the taker) with a private valuation for one unit of some asset. If the trader's…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Tommaso Cesari , Roberto Colomboni , Luigi Foscari , Vinayak Pathak

Market participants regularly send bid and ask quotes to exchange-operated limit order books. This creates an optimization challenge where their potential profit is determined by their quoted price and how often their orders are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-16 Chutian Ma , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

This paper studies the optimal investment problem with random endowment in an inventory-based price impact model with competitive market makers. Our goal is to analyze how price impact affects optimal policies, as well as both pricing rules…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-10 Michail Anthropelos , Scott Robertson , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Because of the theoretical challenges posed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis to technical analysis, the effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading remains inadequately explored, particularly at the minute-level…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Akash Deep , Abootaleb Shirvani , Chris Monico , Svetlozar Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Han Gui

We consider a class of learning problems in which an agent liquidates a risky asset while creating both transient price impact driven by an unknown convolution propagator and linear temporary price impact with an unknown parameter. We…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Eyal Neuman , Yufei Zhang

Trading a financial asset pushes its price as well as the prices of other assets, a phenomenon known as cross-impact. We consider a general class of kernel-based cross-impact models and investigate suitable parameterisations for trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Mehdi Tomas

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Paraskevi Nousi , Avraam Tsantekidis , Nikolaos Passalis , Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Anastasios Tefas , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Motivated by the current global high inflation scenario, we aim to discover a dynamic multi-period allocation strategy to optimally outperform a passive benchmark while adhering to a bounded leverage limit. To this end, we formulate an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-26 Chendi Ni , Yuying Li , Peter A. Forsyth

This paper develops a model for option market making in which the hedging activity of the market maker generates price impact on the underlying asset. The option order flow is modeled by Cox processes, with intensities depending on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-30 Paulin Aubert , Etienne Chevalier , Vathana Ly Vath

This paper continues the examination of inventory control in which the inventory is modelled by a diffusion process and a long-term average cost criterion is used to make decisions. The class of such models under consideration have general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Kurt L. Helmes , Richard H. Stockbridge , Chao Zhu

We give a detailed characterization of optimal trades under budget constraints in a prediction market with a cost-function-based automated market maker. We study how the budget constraints of individual traders affect their ability to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-08 Nikhil Devanur , Miroslav Dudík , Zhiyi Huang , David M. Pennock

This work considers a stochastic model in which the uncertainty is driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion. The market price of risk process makes the transition between real world probability measure and risk neutral probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-04 Traian A. Pirvu , Ulrich G. Haussmann

Estimating spot covariance is an important issue to study, especially with the increasing availability of high-frequency financial data. We study the estimation of spot covariance using a kernel method for high-frequency data. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Konul Mustafayeva , Weining Wang

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-12 Çağın Ararat , Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff

In recent years, quantitative investment methods combined with artificial intelligence have attracted more and more attention from investors and researchers. Existing related methods based on the supervised learning are not very suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Sihang Chen , Weiqi Luo , Chao Yu

Prediction markets are often described as mechanisms that ``aggregate information'' into prices, yet the mapping from dispersed private information to observed market histories is typically noisy, endogenous, and shaped by heterogeneous and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Camilo Monsalve Maya , Lachlan Breakey