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In risk management, often the probability must be estimated that a random vector falls into an extreme failure set. In the framework of bivariate extreme value theory, we construct an estimator for such failure probabilities and analyze its…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mikhail Isaev , Igor Rodionov , Rui-Ray Zhang , Maksim Zhukovskii

In a randomly oriented graph containing vertices $x$ and $y$, denote by $\{x\to y\}$ the event that there is a directed path from $x$ to $y$. We study the correlation between the events $\{x\to y\}$ and $\{y\to z\}$ for a (large) oriented…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-09 Erik Aas

Consider a random vector (X',Y)', where X is d-dimensional and Y is one-dimensional. We assume that Y is subject to random right censoring. The aim of this paper is twofold. First, we propose a new estimator of the joint distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Olivier Lopez , Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Recently Balakrishnan and Iliopoulos [Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 61 (2009)] gave sufficient conditions under which maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is stochastically increasing. In this paper we study test plans which are not considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Piotr Nowak

In this note, we address formally the issue of symmetry for probabilities of different dynamical pathways in the forward and reverse directions of a conformational transition. Our discussion is based on a decomposition of equilibrium into…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-12 Divesh Bhatt , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-21 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal

We give a series of combinatorial results that can be obtained from any two collections (both indexed by $\Z\times \N$) of left and right pointing arrows that satisfy some natural relationship. When applied to certain self-interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-11 Mark Holmes , Thomas S. Salisbury

In extreme value analysis, the extreme value index plays a vital role as it determines the tail heaviness of the underlying distribution and is the primary parameter required for the estimation of other extreme events. In this paper, we…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-27 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Ezekiel Nii Noi Nortey

We consider estimation of the covariance matrix of a multivariate random vector under the constraint that certain covariances are zero. We first present an algorithm, which we call Iterative Conditional Fitting, for computing the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Some practical results are derived for population inference based on a sample, under the two qualitative conditions of 'ignorability' and exchangeability. These are the 'Histogram Theorem', for predicting the outcome of a non-sampled member…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-12 Jonathan Rougier

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

The paper presents some distributional properties of logistic order statistics subject to independent exponential one-sided and two-sided shifts. Utilizing these properties, we extend several known results and obtain some new…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-20 M. Ahsanullah , George P. Yanev , Constantin Onica

In this paper, we have studied the stochastic comparisons of the highest and lowest order statistics of exponentiated Gumble type-II distribution with three parameters. We have compared both the statistics by using three different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-19 Surojit Biswas , Nitin Gupta

In this paper we derive stochastic representations for the finite dimensional distributions of a multidimensional diffusion on a fixed time interval, conditioned on the terminal state. The conditioning can be with respect to a fixed point…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Christian Bayer , John Schoenmakers

An ordered $r$-matching is an $r$-uniform hypergraph matching equipped with an ordering on its vertices. These objects can be viewed as natural generalisations of $r$-dimensional orders. The theory of ordered 2-matchings is well-developed…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Michael Anastos , Zhihan Jin , Matthew Kwan , Benny Sudakov

The bounds for absolute moments of order statistics are established. Let $X_1,\dots ,X_n$ be independent identically distributed real-valued random variables and let $X_{1:n}\le \dots \le X_{n:n}$ be the corresponding order statistics. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Nadezhda V. Gribkova

Characterizations of finite sequences $\beta_{1}<\cdots<\beta_{n}$ representing expected values of order statistics from a random sample of size $n$ are given. As a by-product, a characterization of binomial mixtures, when the mixing random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-02 A. Okolewski , N. Papadatos

This article aims to introduced a new distribution named as extended xgamma (EXg) distribution. This generalization is derived from xgamma distribution (Xg), a special finite mixture of exponential and gamma distributions [see, Sen et al.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Mahendra Saha , Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Arvind Pandey , Shivanshi Shukla , Sudhansu S Maiti

The convex transform order is one way to make precise comparison between the skewness of probability distributions on the real line. We establish a simple and complete characterisation of when one Beta distribution is smaller than another…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira , Tilo Wiklund