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We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures utilize test statistics constructed by resampling in a manner that does not depend on the unknown correlation structure of the data. We prove that…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-26 Michael P. Leung

We present a probabilistic model for learning from dynamic relational data, wherein the observed interactions among networked nodes are modeled via the Bernoulli Poisson link function, and the underlying network structure are characterized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

The two-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet distribution is a probability distribution on the totality of positive decreasing sequences with sum 1 and hence considered to govern masses of a random discrete distribution. A characterization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-12 Kenji Handa

We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , David B. Dahl

We propose two novel ways of introducing dependence among Poisson counts through the use of latent variables in a three levels hierarchical model. Marginal distributions of the random variables of interest are Poisson with strict…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

We introduce a novel varying-weight dependent Dirichlet process (DDP) model that extends a recently developed semi-parametric generalized linear model (SPGLM) by adding a nonparametric Bayesian prior on the baseline distribution of the GLM.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Entejar Alam , Paul J. Rathouz , Peter Mueller

Sampling is a fundamental problem in computer science and statistics. However, for a given task and stream, it is often not possible to choose good sampling probabilities in advance. We derive a general framework for adaptively changing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Daniel Ting

This paper proposes a novel test method for high-dimensional mean testing regard for the temporal dependent data. Comparison to existing methods, we establish the asymptotic normality of the test statistic without relying on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Yuchen Hu , Xiaoyi Wang , Long Feng

Precise modelling of a signal in processes with multiple observables, exhibiting a complex dependency on the underlying parameters, is often a difficult and challenging task. Predicting the results of experimental measurements in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-16 Nikita Belyaev , Rostislav Konoplich , Kirill Prokofiev

In this paper we study the quenched distributions of hitting times for a class of random dynamical systems. We prove that hitting times to dynamically defined cylinders converge to a Poisson point process under the law of random equivariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Harry Crimmins , Benoît Saussol

Classical peaks over threshold analysis is widely used for statistical modeling of sample extremes, and can be supplemented by a model for the sizes of clusters of exceedances. Under mild conditions a compound Poisson process model allows…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-14 Mária Süveges , Anthony C. Davison

With the ever growing amount of data collected by the ATLAS and CMS experiments at the CERN LHC, fiducial and differential measurements of the Higgs boson production cross section have become important tools to test the standard model…

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Dynamical scaling is an asymptotic property typical for the dynamics of first-order phase transitions in physical systems and related to self-similarity. Based on the integral-representation for the marginal probabilities of a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Markus Kreer

We develop a notion of sampling, called \emph{generic sampling}, for the context of global Keisler measures where the standard product is replaced by the Morley product. Choosing a point randomly in this space with respect to our…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Kyle Gannon , James E. Hanson

We construct a non-decreasing pure jump Markov process, whose jump measure heavily depends on the values taken by the process. We determine the singularity spectrum of this process, which turns out to be random and to depend locally on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 Julien Barral , Nicolas Fournier , Stephane Jaffard , Stephane Seuret

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

A simple pseudo-Hamiltonian formulation is proposed for the linear inhomogeneous systems of ODEs. In contrast to the usual Hamiltonian mechanics, our approach is based on the use of non-stationary Poisson brackets, i.e. corresponding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 V. G. Kupriyanov , S. L. Lyakhovich , A. A. Sharapov

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

This paper presents some general formulas for random partitions of a finite set derived by Kingman's model of random sampling from an interval partition generated by subintervals whose lengths are the points of a Poisson point process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jim Pitman
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