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We investigate nonlinear state-space models without a closed-form transition density, and propose reformulating such models over their latent noise variables rather than their latent state variables. In doing so the tractable noise density…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-11 Lawrence M. Murray , Emlyn M. Jones , John Parslow

Latent Factor Model (LFM) is one of the most successful methods for Collaborative filtering (CF) in the recommendation system, in which both users and items are projected into a joint latent factor space. Base on matrix factorization…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Jiansheng Fang , Xiaoqing Zhang , Yan Hu , Yanwu Xu , Ming Yang , Jiang Liu

The real-world applications in signal processing generally involve estimating the system state or parameters in nonlinear, non-Gaussian dynamic systems. The estimation problem may get even more challenging when there are physical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-15 Nesrine Amor , Ghulam Rasool , Nidhal C. Bouaynaya

Modelling the behaviour of highly nonlinear dynamical systems with robust uncertainty quantification is a challenging task which typically requires approaches specifically designed to address the problem at hand. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Estimating the parameters of nonlinear block-oriented state-space models from input-output data typically involves solving a highly non-convex optimization problem, which is prone to poor local minima and slow convergence. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Merijn Floren , Jean-Philippe Noël , Jan Swevers

Latent factor models (LFMs) such as matrix factorization achieve the state-of-the-art performance among various Collaborative Filtering (CF) approaches for recommendation. Despite the high recommendation accuracy of LFMs, a critical issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Weiyu Cheng , Yanyan Shen , Yanmin Zhu , Linpeng Huang

We present a scalable and robust Bayesian inference method for linear state space models. The method is applied to demand forecasting in the context of a large e-commerce platform, paying special attention to intermittent and bursty target…

A computationally efficient method for online joint state inference and dynamical model learning is presented. The dynamical model combines an a priori known, physically derived, state-space model with a radial basis function expansion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-12 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

Objective Kalman filtering has previously been applied to track neural model states and parameters, particularly at the scale relevant to EEG. However, this approach lacks a reliable method to determine the initial filter conditions and…

Latent force models, a class of hybrid modeling approaches, integrate physical knowledge of system dynamics with a latent force - an unknown, unmeasurable input modeled as a Gaussian process. In this work, we introduce two optimal state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-24 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller , Thomas Beckers

The Kalman filter (KF) is a widely-used algorithm for tracking dynamic systems that are captured by state space (SS) models. The need to fully describe a SS model limits its applicability under complex settings, e.g., when tracking based on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-21 Itay Buchnik , Damiano Steger , Guy Revach , Ruud J. G. van Sloun , Tirza Routtenberg , Nir Shlezinger

Optimal decision-making under partial observability requires reasoning about the uncertainty of the environment's hidden state. However, most reinforcement learning architectures handle partial observability with sequence models that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Carlos E. Luis , Alessandro G. Bottero , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

Accurate prediction of structural dynamics is imperative for preserving digital twin fidelity throughout operational lifetimes. Parametric models with fixed nominal parameters often omit critical physical effects due to simplifications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-12 Rohan Vitthal Thorat , Rajdip Nayek

This work presents a hybrid modeling approach to data-driven learning and representation of unknown physical processes and closure parameterizations. These hybrid models are suitable for situations where the mechanistic description of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-17 Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Adil Rasheed , Ionel M. Navon

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

This paper introduces a novel proprioceptive state estimator for legged robots that combines model-based filters and deep neural networks. Recent studies have shown that neural networks such as multi-layer perceptron or recurrent neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Donghoon Youm , Hyunsik Oh , Suyoung Choi , Hyeongjun Kim , Jemin Hwangbo

Latent force models are a class of hybrid models for dynamic systems, combining simple mechanistic models with flexible Gaussian process (GP) perturbations. An extension of this framework to include multiplicative interactions between the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-01 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Simo Särkkä , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson