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We develop and analyze a principled approach to kernel ridge regression under covariate shift. The goal is to learn a regression function with small mean squared error over a target distribution, based on unlabeled data from there and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Kaizheng Wang

This paper presents a kernel-based discriminative learning framework on probability measures. Rather than relying on large collections of vectorial training examples, our framework learns using a collection of probability distributions that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-15 Krikamol Muandet , Kenji Fukumizu , Francesco Dinuzzo , Bernhard Schölkopf

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

Reliable uncertainty estimates are an important tool for helping autonomous agents or human decision makers understand and leverage predictive models. However, existing approaches to estimating uncertainty largely ignore the possibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani , James Weimer , Insup Lee

Online change detection involves monitoring a stream of data for changes in the statistical properties of incoming observations. A good change detector will detect any changes shortly after they occur, while raising few false alarms.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Thomas Flynn , Shinjae Yoo

We develop some theoretical results for a robust similarity measure named "generalized min-max" (GMM). This similarity has direct applications in machine learning as a positive definite kernel and can be efficiently computed via…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-02 Ping Li , Cun-Hui Zhang

In many applications of machine learning, a large number of variables are considered. Motivated by machine learning of interacting particle systems, we consider the situation when the number of input variables goes to infinity. First, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Christian Fiedler , Michael Herty , Sebastian Trimpe

Multivariate conformal prediction requires nonconformity scores that compress residual vectors into scalars while preserving certain implicit geometric structure of the residual distribution. We introduce a Multivariate Kernel Score (MKS)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Louis Meyer , Wenkai Xu

We study estimation of a class prior for unlabeled target samples which possibly differs from that of source population. Moreover, it is assumed that the source data is partially observable: only samples from the positive class and from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Jan Mielniczuk , Wojciech Rejchel , Paweł Teisseyre

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

We introduce a kernel-based two-sample test for comparing probability distributions up to group actions. Our construction yields invariant kernels for locally compact $\sigma$-compact groups and extends classical Haar-based approaches…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Madison Giacofci , Anouar Meynaoui , Alex Podgorny

Kernel means are frequently used to represent probability distributions in machine learning problems. In particular, the well known kernel density estimator and the kernel mean embedding both have the form of a kernel mean. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-03 E. Cruz Cortés , C. Scott

The mean shift algorithm is a popular way to find modes of some probability density functions taking a specific kernel-based shape, used for clustering or visual tracking. Since its introduction, it underwent several practical improvements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Sébastien Razakarivony , Axel Barrau

Reliable prediction of protein variant effects is crucial for both protein optimization and for advancing biological understanding. For practical use in protein engineering, it is important that we can also provide reliable uncertainty…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-01 Peter Mørch Groth , Mads Herbert Kerrn , Lars Olsen , Jesper Salomon , Wouter Boomsma

The mean shift (MS) algorithm seeks a mode of the kernel density estimate (KDE). This study presents a convergence guarantee of the mode estimate sequence generated by the MS algorithm and an evaluation of the convergence rate, under fairly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-08 Ryoya Yamasaki , Toshiyuki Tanaka

Representing, comparing, and measuring the distance between probability distributions is a key task in computational statistics and machine learning. The choice of representation and the associated distance determine properties of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Masha Naslidnyk

Kernel smoothers are considered near the boundary of the interval. Kernels which minimize the expected mean square error are derived. These kernels are equivalent to using a linear weighting function in the local polynomial regression. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Alexander Sidorenko , Kurt S. Riedel

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

Nonparametric kernel density estimation is a very natural procedure which simply makes use of the smoothing power of the convolution operation. Yet, it performs poorly when the density of a positive variable is to be estimated (boundary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Gery Geenens

We propose a set of kernel-based tools to evaluate the designs and tune the hyperparameters of conditional sequence models, with a focus on problems in computational biology. The backbone of our tools is a new measure of discrepancy between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Pierre Glaser , Steffanie Paul , Alissa M. Hummer , Charlotte M. Deane , Debora S. Marks , Alan N. Amin