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Current approaches to expert systems' reasoning under uncertainty fail to capture the iterative revision process characteristic of intelligent human reasoning. This paper reports on a system, called the Non-monotonic Probabilist, or NMP…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Marvin S. Cohen

In this paper, we focus on the problem of robustifying reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms with respect to model uncertainties. Indeed, in the framework of model-based RL, we propose to merge the theory of constrained Markov decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Reazul Hasan Russel , Mouhacine Benosman , Jeroen Van Baar

Model checking undiscounted reachability and expected-reward properties on Markov decision processes (MDPs) is key for the verification of systems that act under uncertainty. Popular algorithms are policy iteration and variants of value…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Arnd Hartmanns , Sebastian Junges , Tim Quatmann , Maximilian Weininger

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Standard Markov decision process (MDP) and reinforcement learning algorithms optimize the policy with respect to the expected gain. We propose an algorithm which enables to optimize an alternative objective: the probability that the gain is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Vincent Corlay , Jean-Christophe Sibel

Addressing uncertainty is critical for autonomous systems to robustly adapt to the real world. We formulate the problem of model uncertainty as a continuous Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Process (BAMDP), where an agent maintains a…

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

In robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), it is assumed that the reward and the transition dynamics lie in a given uncertainty set. By targeting maximal return under the most adversarial model from that set, RMDPs address performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Uri Gadot , Esther Derman , Navdeep Kumar , Maxence Mohamed Elfatihi , Kfir Levy , Shie Mannor

Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear systems is a problem that poses significant challenges as highlighted by the diversity of approaches proposed in the last decades. Often compromises with respect to computational load,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-21 Daniel D. Leister , Justin P. Koeln

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah , Sanjit A. Seshia

This paper considers the problem of identifying the parameters of an uncertain linear system by means of feedback control. The problem is approached by considering time-varying controllers. It is shown that even when the uncertainty set is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-17 G. Battistelli , P. Tesi

The Markov decision process (MDP) formulation used to model many real-world sequential decision making problems does not efficiently capture the setting where the set of available decisions (actions) at each time step is stochastic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Blossom Metevier , Philip S. Thomas

What is the best description that we can construct of a thermodynamic system that is not in equilibrium, given only one, or a few, extra parameters over and above those needed for a description of the same system at equilibrium? Here, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-05 Gavin E. Crooks

As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

Planning problems are hard, motion planning, for example, isPSPACE-hard. Such problems are even more difficult in the presence of uncertainty. Although, Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) provide a formal framework for such problems, finding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Carlos E. Guestrin , Dirk Ormoneit

Many applications -- including power systems, robotics, and economics -- involve a dynamical system interacting with a stochastic and hard-to-model environment. We adopt a reinforcement learning approach to control such systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar , Shaofeng Zou

In this paper, we propose a general theory of ambiguity-averse MDPs, which treats the uncertain transition probabilities as random variables and evaluates a policy via a risk measure applied to its random return. This ambiguity-averse MDP…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Axel Benyamine , Julien Grand-Clément , Marek Petrik , Michael I. Jordan , Alain Durmus

We consider the problem of optimizing the economic performance of nonlinear constrained systems subject to uncertain time-varying parameters and bounded disturbances. In particular, we propose an adaptive economic model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Maximilian Degner , Raffaele Soloperto , Melanie N. Zeilinger , John Lygeros , Johannes Köhler

We consider multiple parallel Markov decision processes (MDPs) coupled by global constraints, where the time varying objective and constraint functions can only be observed after the decision is made. Special attention is given to how well…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Xiaohan Wei , Hao Yu , Michael J. Neely

We apply the recently proposed quantum probing protocols with an unknown system-probe coupling to probe the convex coefficients in mixtures of commuting states. By using two reference states instead of one as originally suggested, we are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-13 Henri Lyyra , Olli Siltanen , Jyrki Piilo , Subhashish Banerjee , Tom Kuusela
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