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Process Outcome Prediction entails predicting a discrete property of an unfinished process instance from its partial trace. High-capacity outcome predictors discovered with ensemble and deep learning methods have been shown to achieve top…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Francesco Folino , Luigi Pontieri , Pietro Sabatino

Link prediction is an open problem in the complex network, which attracts much research interest currently. However, little attention has been paid to the relation between network structure and the performance of prediction methods. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Xu Feng , Jichang Zhao , Ke Xu

Lifelong learning can be viewed as a continuous transfer learning procedure over consecutive tasks, where learning a given task depends on accumulated knowledge --- the so-called knowledge base. Most published work on lifelong learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Changjian Shui , Ihsen Hedhli , Christian Gagné

When dealing with time series with complex non-stationarities, low retrospective regret on individual realizations is a more appropriate goal than low prospective risk in expectation. Online learning algorithms provide powerful guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-30 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Kristina Lisa Klinkner , Aaron Clauset

We introduce a method for online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes. Like previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary sequences. However, unlike previous methods, we can simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Rina Foygel Barber , Stephen Bates

In the online (time-series) search problem, a player is presented with a sequence of prices which are revealed in an online manner. In the standard definition of the problem, for each revealed price, the player must decide irrevocably…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali , Dehou Zhang

Artificial neural networks which are trained on a time series are supposed to achieve two abilities: firstly to predict the series many time steps ahead and secondly to learn the rule which has produced the series. It is shown that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Ansgar Freking , Wolfgang Kinzel , Ido Kanter

Link prediction is an important network science problem in many domains such as social networks, chem/bio-informatics, etc. Most of these networks are dynamic in nature with patterns evolving over time. In such cases, it is necessary to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-18 Jeyanthi Narasimhan , Lawrence Holder

A growing number of universities worldwide use various forms of online and blended learning as part of their academic curricula. Furthermore, the recent changes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have led to a drastic increase in importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Galina Deeva , Johannes De Smedt , Cecilia Saint-Pierre , Richard Weber , Jochen De Weerdt

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

The study of complex systems has attracted widespread attention from researchers in the fields of natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering. Prediction is one of the central issues in this field. Although most related studies have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-21 En Xu , Yilin Bi , Hongwei Hu , Xin Chen , Zhiwen Yu , Yong Li , Yanqing Hu , Tao Zhou

We present two approaches that use unlabeled data to improve sequence learning with recurrent networks. The first approach is to predict what comes next in a sequence, which is a conventional language model in natural language processing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Andrew M. Dai , Quoc V. Le

Inference and prediction are fundamental to the study of complex systems, where network data are often incomplete, inaccurate or obtained indirectly. In this paper, we review recent advances in network sampling and comparison, as well as in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Francisco A. Rodrigues

A major technique in learning-augmented online algorithms is combining multiple algorithms or predictors. Since the performance of each predictor may vary over time, it is desirable to use not the single best predictor as a benchmark, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Antonios Antoniadis , Christian Coester , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Bertrand Simon

Citation count prediction is the task of predicting the number of citations a paper has gained after a period of time. Prior work viewed this as a static prediction task. As papers and their citations evolve over time, considering the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-16 Andreas Nugaard Holm , Barbara Plank , Dustin Wright , Isabelle Augenstein

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. The standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

Online decision-makers often obtain predictions on future variables, such as arrivals, demands, inventories, and so on. These predictions can be generated from simple forecasting algorithms for univariate time-series, all the way to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Lin An , Andrew A. Li , Benjamin Moseley , Gabriel Visotsky

Recent advances in algorithmic design show how to utilize predictions obtained by machine learning models from past and present data. These approaches have demonstrated an enhancement in performance when the predictions are accurate, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Marek Elias , Haim Kaplan , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran

We consider non-clairvoyant scheduling with online precedence constraints, where an algorithm is oblivious to any job dependencies and learns about a job only if all of its predecessors have been completed. Given strong impossibility…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Alexandra Lassota , Alexander Lindermayr , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

Continual Learning models aim to learn a set of tasks under the constraint that the tasks arrive sequentially with no way to access data from previous tasks. The Online Continual Learning framework poses a further challenge where the tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Kevin Luong , Michael Thielscher