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Having reliable estimates of the occurrence rates of extreme events is highly important for insurance companies, government agencies and the general public. The rarity of an extreme event is typically expressed through its return period,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Emma Eastoe , Rob Lamb

We study the effectiveness of randomizing split-directions in random forests. Prior literature has shown that, on the one hand, randomization can reduce variance through decorrelation, and, on the other hand, randomization regularizes and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-18 C. Revelas , O. Boldea , B. J. M. Werker

We study the behaviour of discrete dynamical systems generated by a continuous map $f$ of a compact real interval into itself where at randomly chosen times a function different from $f$ - so called impulse function is applied. We show that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-25 J. Kováč , J. Veselý , K. Janková

We introduce a general class of algorithms and supply a number of general results useful for analysing these algorithms when applied to regular graphs of large girth. As a result, we can transfer a number of results proved for random…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-03-06 Carlos Hoppen , Nicholas Wormald

Discrete diffusion models have seen a surge of attention with applications on naturally discrete data such as language and graphs. Although discrete-time discrete diffusion has been established for a while, only recently Campbell et al.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Lingxiao Zhao , Xueying Ding , Lijun Yu , Leman Akoglu

We present general principles underlying analysis of the dependence of random variables (outputs) on deterministic conditions (inputs). Random outputs recorded under mutually exclusive input values are labeled by these values and considered…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

Computing the rate-distortion function for continuous sources is commonly regarded as a standard continuous optimization problem. When numerically addressing this problem, a typical approach involves discretizing the source space and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Lingyi Chen , Shitong Wu , Wenyi Zhang , Huihui Wu , Hao Wu

This article is about discrete periodicities and their combinatorial structure. It describes the unique structure caused by the alteration of a pattern in a repetition. That alteration of a pattern could be "heard" as the disturbance that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Adrien Thierry

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

In this article we investigate the asymptotic behavior of a new class of multi-dimensional diffusions in random environment. We introduce cut times in the spirit of the work done by Bolthausen, Sznitman and Zeitouni, see [4], in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-12 Ivan del Tenno

The paper studies discrete time processes and their predictability and randomness in deterministic pathwise setting, without using probabilistic assumptions on the ensemble. We suggest some approaches to quantification of randomness based…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

A new method of path averaging for waves propagating in a random dilute system of identical scatterers is developed. The scattering matrix of such a system is calculated. The method systematically takes into account repeating scatterings on…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 V. S. Podolsky , A. A. Lisyansky

Records among a sequence of iid random variables $X_1,X_2,\dotsc$ on the real line have been investigated extensively over the past decades. A record is defined as a random variable $X_n$ such that $X_n>\max(X_1,\dotsc,X_{n-1})$. Trying to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Clément Dombry , Michael Falk , Maximilian Zott

Recently there has been much work on selective sampling, an online active learning setting, in which algorithms work in rounds. On each round an algorithm receives an input and makes a prediction. Then, it can decide whether to query a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We compute the number of circuits and of loops with multiple crossings in random regular graphs. We discuss the importance of this issue for the validity of the cavity approach. On the one side we obtain analytic results for the infinite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Enzo Marinari , Remi Monasson

We develop a Difference-in-Differences framework for discrete, ordered outcomes subject to underreporting. Such outcomes commonly arise in self-reported surveys on socially undesirable or stigmatized behaviors, where respondents may conceal…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Daniel Gutknecht , Cenchen Liu

Recent research has provided a wealth of evidence highlighting the pivotal role of high-order interdependencies in supporting the information-processing capabilities of distributed complex systems. These findings may suggest that high-order…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-05-24 Patricio Orio , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas

This paper focuses on nonparametric statistical inference of the hazard rate function of discrete distributions based on $\delta$-record data. We derive the explicit expression of the maximum likelihood estimator and determine its exact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Martín Alcalde , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Lina Maldonado , Gerardo Sanz

Pinning and depinning of wave fronts are ubiquitous features of spatially discrete systems describing a host of phenomena in physics, biology, etc. A large class of discrete systems is described by overdamped chains of nonlinear oscillators…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Carpio , L. L. Bonilla , A. Luzon