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The main goal in this paper is to propose a new method for deriving oracle inequalities related to the exponential weighting method. For the sake of simplicity we focus on recovering an unknown vector from noisy data with the help of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Elena Chernousova , Yuri Golubev , Katerina Krymova

In this note, we consider the problem of aggregation of estimators in order to denoise a signal. The main contribution is a short proof of the fact that the exponentially weighted aggregate satisfies a sharp oracle inequality. While this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Arnak S. Dalalyan

This paper deals with recovering an unknown vector $\theta$ from the noisy data $Y=A\theta+\sigma\xi$, where $A$ is a known $(m\times n)$-matrix and $\xi$ is a white Gaussian noise. It is assumed that $n$ is large and $A$ may be severely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Yuri Golubev

We consider the problem of combining a (possibly uncountably infinite) set of affine estimators in non-parametric regression model with heteroscedastic Gaussian noise. Focusing on the exponentially weighted aggregate, we prove a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Joseph Salmon

In the context of a linear model with a sparse coefficient vector, exponential weights methods have been shown to be achieve oracle inequalities for prediction. We show that such methods also succeed at variable selection and estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Ery Arias-Castro , Karim Lounici

Consider a regression model with fixed design and Gaussian noise where the regression function can potentially be well approximated by a function that admits a sparse representation in a given dictionary. This paper resorts to exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We consider the problem of model selection type aggregation in the context of density estimation. We first show that empirical risk minimization is sub-optimal for this problem and it shares this property with the exponential weights…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Pierre C. Bellec

Aggregating estimators using exponential weights depending on their risk appears optimal in expectation but not in probability. We use here a slight overpenalization to obtain oracle inequality in probability for such an explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Lucie Montuelle , Erwan Le Pennec

We establish theoretical guarantees for the expected prediction error of the exponential weighting aggregate in the case of multivariate regression that is when the label vector is multidimensional. We consider the regression model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We study the problem of exact support recovery: given an (unknown) vector $\theta \in \left\{-1,0,1\right\}^D$, we are given access to the noisy measurement $$ y = X\theta + \omega,$$ where $X \in \mathbb{R}^{N \times D}$ is a (known)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ofir Lindenbaum , Stefan Steinerberger

We endeavour to estimate numerous multi-dimensional means of various probability distributions on a common space based on independent samples. Our approach involves forming estimators through convex combinations of empirical means derived…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Gilles Blanchard , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Hannah Marienwald

Aggregation methods have emerged as a powerful and flexible framework in statistical learning, providing unified solutions across diverse problems such as regression, classification, and density estimation. In the context of generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 The Tien Mai

We derive oracle inequalities for the problems of isotonic and convex regression using the combination of $Q$-aggregation procedure and sparsity pattern aggregation. This improves upon the previous results including the oracle inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Pierre C. Bellec , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We consider the problem of aggregating a general collection of affine estimators for fixed design regression. Relevant examples include some commonly used statistical estimators such as least squares, ridge and robust least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Dong Dai , Philippe Rigollet , Lucy Xia , Tong Zhang

Existing results for low-rank matrix recovery largely focus on quadratic loss, which enjoys favorable properties such as restricted strong convexity/smoothness (RSC/RSM) and well conditioning over all low rank matrices. However, many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Lijun Ding , Yuqian Zhang , Yudong Chen

We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

Robust methods, though ubiquitous in practice, are yet to be fully understood in the context of regularized estimation and high dimensions. Even simple questions become challenging very quickly. For example, classical statistical theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Jing Zhou , Gerda Claeskens , Jelena Bradic

We consider the problem of recovering a signal observed in Gaussian noise. If the set of signals is convex and compact, and can be specified beforehand, one can use classical linear estimators that achieve a risk within a constant factor of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-05 Dmitry Ostrovsky , Zaid Harchaoui , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (oracle inequality) is obtained

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov
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