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One of the biggest problems faced by current and next-generation astronomical surveys is trying to produce large numbers of accurate cross identifications across a range of wavelength regimes with varying data quality and positional…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Isaac G. Roseboom , Seb Oliver , David Parkinson , Mattia Vaccari

Multi-wavelength astronomical studies require cross-identification of detections of the same celestial objects in multiple catalogs based on spherical coordinates and other properties. Because of the large data volumes and spherical…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-06-25 László Dobos , Tamás Budavári , Nolan Li , Alexander S. Szalay , István Csabai

Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-19 S. Andreon

Bayesian Inference is a powerful approach to data analysis that is based almost entirely on probability theory. In this approach, probabilities model {\it uncertainty} rather than randomness or variability. This thesis is composed of a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-08 Brendon J. Brewer

A method is presented for performing joint analyses of cosmological datasets, in which the weight assigned to each dataset is determined directly by it own statistical properties. The weights are considered in a Bayesian context as a set of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , S. L. Bridle , O. Lahav

This is an introduction to Bayesian inference with a focus on hierarchical models and hyper-parameters. We write primarily for an audience of Bayesian novices, but we hope to provide useful insights for seasoned veterans as well. Examples…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-26 Eric Thrane , Colm Talbot

A paired comparison analysis is the simplest way to make comparative judgments between objects where objects may be goods, services or skills. For a set of problems, this technique helps to choose the most important problem to solve first…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Maqsood Ali , Muhammad Aslam

Determining if two histograms are consistent, whether they have been drawn from the same underlying distribution or not, is a common problem in physics. Existing approaches are not only limited in power but also inapplicable to histograms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-09-29 M. J. Betancourt

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis

We propose an analytical solution to the on-off problem within the framework of Bayesian statistics. Both the statistical significance for the discovery of new phenomena and credible intervals on model parameters are presented in a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-04-20 Dalibor Nosek , Jana Nosková

Context: Astronomy and astrophysics demand rigorous handling of uncertainties to ensure the credibility of outcomes. The growing integration of artificial intelligence offers a novel avenue to address this necessity. This convergence…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-28 Víctor Tamames-Rodero , Andrés Moya , Roberto Javier López , Luis Manuel Sarro

We describe the development of a system for an automated, iterative, real-time classification of transient events discovered in synoptic sky surveys. The system under development incorporates a number of Machine Learning techniques, mostly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-24 S. G. Djorgovski , C. Donalek , A. Mahabal , B. Moghaddam , M. Turmon , M. Graham , A. Drake , N. Sharma , Y. Chen

By introducing Crossing functions and hyper-parameters I show that the Bayesian interpretation of the Crossing Statistics [1] can be used trivially for the purpose of model selection among cosmological models. In this approach to falsify a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-24 Arman Shafieloo

We lay the foundations of a statistical framework for multi-catalogue cross-correlation and cross-identification based on explicit simplified catalogue models. A proper identification process should rely on both astrometric and photometric…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 F. -X. Pineau , S. Derriere , C. Motch , F. J. Carrera , F. Genova , L. Michel , B. Mingo , A. Mints , A. Nebot Gómez-Morán , S. R. Rosen , A. Ruiz Camuñas

In an era of large spectroscopic surveys of stars and big data, sophisticated statistical methods become more and more important in order to infer fundamental stellar parameters such as mass and age. Bayesian techniques are powerful methods…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-01 F. R. N. Schneider , N. Castro , L. Fossati , N. Langer , A. de Koter

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah

There is an increasing number of large, digital, synoptic sky surveys, in which repeated observations are obtained over large areas of the sky in multiple epochs. Likewise, there is a growth in the number of (often automated or robotic)…

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

This paper provides a critical review of the Bayesian perspective of causal inference based on the potential outcomes framework. We review the causal estimands, identification assumptions, the general structure of Bayesian inference of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Fan Li , Peng Ding , Fabrizia Mealli