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Related papers: Bayesian inference for orbital eccentricities

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The most general bound binary black hole (BBH) system has an eccentric orbit and precessing spins. The detection of such a system with significant eccentricity close to the merger would be a clear signature of dynamical formation. In order…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-12-12 Khun Sang Phukon , Nathan K. Johnson-McDaniel , Amitesh Singh , Anuradha Gupta

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

We study the rates of convergence of the posterior distribution for Bayesian density estimation with Dirichlet mixtures of normal distributions as the prior. The true density is assumed to be twice continuously differentiable. The bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

Binaries of supermassive black holes (MBHBs) represent the primary sources of the gravitational wave background (GWB) detectable by Pulsar Timing Arrays (PTAs). The eccentricity with which binaries form in galactic mergers is the key…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2026-01-06 Alessia Gualandris , Justin Read , Federica Fastidio , Julian Chan , Thibaut François , Nader Khonji , Walter Dehnen

Solutions to inverse problems that are ill-conditioned or ill-posed may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Unfortunately, analysing and quantifying this uncertainty is very challenging, particularly in high-dimensional problems. As a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-12 Marcelo Pereyra

The properties of black-hole and neutron-star binaries are extracted from gravitational-wave signals using Bayesian inference. This involves evaluating a multi-dimensional posterior probability function with stochastic sampling. The…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-29 Virginia D'Emilio , Rhys Green , Vivien Raymond

Two procedures for checking Bayesian models are compared using a simple test problem based on the local Hubble expansion. Over four orders of magnitude, p-values derived from a global goodness-of-fit criterion for posterior probability…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-27 Leon B. Lucy

The inspiral of a circular, non-precessing binary exhibits an approximate helical symmetry. The effects of eccentricity, precession, and radiation reaction break the exact symmetry. We estimate the failure of this symmetry using the flux of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-02-05 Aniket Khairnar , Leo C. Stein , Michael Boyle

Detecting boundary of an image based on noisy observations is a fundamental problem of image processing and image segmentation. For a $d$-dimensional image ($d = 2, 3, \ldots$), the boundary can often be described by a closed smooth $(d -…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Meng Li , Subhashis Ghosal

I present a numerical fit to the peak harmonic gravitational wave frequency emitted by an eccentric binary system in the post-Newtonian approximation. This fit significantly improves upon a previous commonly-used fit in population synthesis…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-12-02 Adrian S. Hamers

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

Spiral density waves observed in protoplanetary discs have often been used to infer the presence of embedded planets. This inference relies both on simulations as well as the linear theory of planet-disc interaction developed for planets on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Callum W. Fairbairn , Roman R. Rafikov

Eccentric compact binary mergers are significant scientific targets for current and future gravitational wave observatories. To detect and analyze eccentric signals, there is an increasing effort to develop waveform models, numerical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-10 Md Arif Shaikh , Vijay Varma , Harald P. Pfeiffer , Antoni Ramos-Buades , Maarten van de Meent

Inspiraling supermassive black hole binary systems with high orbital eccentricity are important sources for space-based gravitational wave (GW) observatories like the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). Eccentricity adds orbital…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-05-30 Balázs Mikóczi , Bence Kocsis , Péter Forgács , Mátyás Vasúth

Inspiraling compact binaries with non-negligible orbital eccentricities are plausible gravitational wave (GW) sources for the upcoming network of GW observatories. In this paper, we present two prescriptions to compute post-Newtonian (PN)…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-05-17 Sashwat Tanay , Maria Haney , Achamveedu Gopakumar

Extreme mass ratio inspirals (EMRIs), where a compact object orbits a massive black hole, are a key source of gravitational waves for the future Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). Due to their small mass ratio, ($\epsilon \sim…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-22 Philip Lynch , Vojtěch Witzany , Maarten van de Meent , Niels Warburton

The method of Maximum (relative) Entropy (ME) is used to translate the information contained in the known form of the likelihood into a prior distribution for Bayesian inference. The argument is guided by intuition gained from the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

It is suggested that the distribution of orbital eccentricities for extrasolar planets is well-described by the Beta distribution. Several properties of the Beta distribution make it a powerful tool for this purpose. For example, the Beta…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 David M. Kipping

Given the absence of observations of black hole binaries, it is critical that the full range of accessible parameter space be explored in anticipation of future observation with gravitational wave detectors. To this end, we compile the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-07-29 Janna Levin , Sean T. McWilliams , Hugo Contreras

We investigate the stability of circular material orbits in the analytic galactic metric recently derived by Harko \textit{et al.} (2014). It turnsout that stability depends more strongly on the dark matter central density $%\rho_{0}$ than…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-15 Ramil Izmailov , Alexander A. Potapov , Alexander I. Filippov , Mithun Ghosh , Kamal K. Nandi
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