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Much of the causal discovery literature prioritises guaranteeing the identifiability of causal direction in statistical models. For structures within a Markov equivalence class, this requires strong assumptions which may not hold in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Anish Dhir , Samuel Power , Mark van der Wilk

Modeling the complex relationships between multiple categorical response variables as a function of predictors is a fundamental task in the analysis of categorical data. However, existing methods can be difficult to interpret and may lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Hongru Zhao , Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-17 R. Caimmi

Model selection and sparse recovery are two important problems for which many regularization methods have been proposed. We study the properties of regularization methods in both problems under the unified framework of regularized least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Jinchi Lv , Yingying Fan

We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas , Carlo Fischione , Mohammad R. Hesamzadeh

This paper investigates the effect of the design matrix on the ability (or inability) to estimate a sparse parameter in linear regression. More specifically, we characterize the optimal rate of estimation when the smallest singular value of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Reese Pathak , Cong Ma

We propose a new variable selection procedure for a functional linear model with multiple scalar responses and multiple functional predictors. This method is based on basis expansions of the involved functional predictors and coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Alban Mina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet

We consider a recursive algorithm to construct an aggregated estimator from a finite number of base decision rules in the classification problem. The estimator approximately minimizes a convex risk functional under the l1-constraint. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Alexandre Tsybakov , Nicolas Vayatis

Model selection criteria are one of the most important tools in statistics. Proofs showing a model selection criterion is asymptotically optimal are tailored to the type of model (linear regression, quantile regression, penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Amaze Lusompa

In many safety-critical settings, probabilistic ML systems have to make predictions subject to algebraic constraints, e.g., predicting the most likely trajectory that does not cross obstacles. These real-world constraints are rarely convex,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Leander Kurscheidt , Gabriele Masina , Roberto Sebastiani , Antonio Vergari

We present upper and lower bounds for the prediction error of the Lasso. For the case of random Gaussian design, we show that under mild conditions the prediction error of the Lasso is up to smaller order terms dominated by the prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Sara van de Geer

The construction of coherent prediction models holds great importance in medical research as such models enable health researchers to gain deeper insights into disease epidemiology and clinicians to identify patients at higher risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Guanbo Wang , Sylvie Perreault , Robert W. Platt , Rui Wang , Marc Dorais , Mireille E. Schnitzer

We wish to estimate conditional density using Gaussian Mixture Regression model with logistic weights and means depending on the covariate. We aim at selecting the number of components of this model as well as the other parameters by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Lucie Montuelle , Erwan Le Pennec , Serge Cohen

This paper proposes a penalized composite likelihood method for model selection in colored graphical Gaussian models. The method provides a sparse and symmetry-constrained estimator of the precision matrix, and thus conducts model selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-06 Qiong Li , Xiaoying Sun , Nanwei Wang

The demand for extracting rules from high dimensional real world data is increasing in various fields. However, the possible redundancy of such data sometimes makes it difficult to obtain a good generalization ability for novel samples. To…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Shinsuke Uda , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Group-based sparsity models are proven instrumental in linear regression problems for recovering signals from much fewer measurements than standard compressive sensing. The main promise of these models is the recovery of "interpretable"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Luca Baldassarre , Nirav Bhan , Volkan Cevher , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Siddhartha Satpathi

We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Model selection for regression problems with an increasing number of covariates continues to be an important problem both theoretically and in applications. Model selection consistency and mean structure reconstruction depend on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Zikun Yang , Andrew Womack

Sparse regression and classification estimators that respect group structures have application to an assortment of statistical and machine learning problems, from multitask learning to sparse additive modeling to hierarchical selection.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Ryan Thompson , Farshid Vahid