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In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we consider the Whittle estimator for the parameters of a stationary solution of a continuous-time linear state space model sampled at low frequencies. In our context the driving process is a L\'evy process which allows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

In this paper we present some new limit theorems for power variations of stationary increment L\'{e}vy driven moving average processes. Recently, such asymptotic results have been investigated in [Ann. Probab. 45(6B) (2017), 4477--4528,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-25 Mathias Mørck Ljungdahl , Mark Podolskij

Let $X=\{X_{t},t\in R_{+}\}$ be a symmetric L\'{e}vy process with local time $\{L^{x}_{t} ; (x,t)\in R^{1}\times R^{1}_{+}\}$. When the L\'{e}vy exponent $\psi(\la)$ is regularly varying at zero with index $1<\beta\leq 2$, and satisfies…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

We consider the parametric estimation of the driving L\'evy process of a multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) process, which is observed on the discrete time grid $(0,h,2h,...)$. Beginning with a new state…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Peter J. Brockwell , Eckhard Schlemm

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper, we consider function-indexed normalized weighted integrated periodograms for equidistantly sampled multivariate continuous-time state space models which are multivariate continuous-time ARMA processes. Thereby, the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

Consider compound Poisson processes with negative drift and no negative jumps, which converge to some spectrally positive L\'evy process with non-zero L\'evy measure. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Amaury Lambert , Florian Simatos

In the averaging process on a graph $G = (V, E)$, a random mass distribution $\eta$ on $V$ is repeatedly updated via transformations of the form $\eta_{v}, \eta_{w} \mapsto (\eta_{v} + \eta_{w})/2$, with updates made according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Austin Eide

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

In this paper we obtain new limit theorems for variational functionals of high frequency observations of stationary increments L\'evy driven moving averages. We will see that the asymptotic behaviour of such functionals heavily depends on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

Through certain appropriate constructions, we establish periodic solutions in distribution for some stochastic differential equations with infinite-dimensional Levy noise. Additionally, we obtain the corresponding periodic measures and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Xinying Deng , Yong Li , Xue Yang

We develop a method that relates the truncated cumulant-function of the fourth order with the L\'evian cumulant-function. This gives us explicit formulas for the L\'evy-parameters, which allow a real-time analysis of the state of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

This paper studies the invertibility property of continuous time moving average processes driven by a L\'evy process. We provide of sufficient conditions for the recovery of the driving noise. Our assumptions are specified via the kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Orimar Sauri

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic processes driven by additive small L\'{e}vy noises. We do not impose any moment condition on the driving L\'{e}vy process. Under certain regularity conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Hongwei Long , Yasutaka Shimizu , Wei Sun

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

We study the effect of observing a stationary process at irregular time points via a renewal process. We establish a sharp difference in the asymptotic behaviour of the self-normalized sample mean of the observed process depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Mohamedou Ould-Haye , Anne Philippe

We study random dynamical systems composed of LSV maps with varying parameters, without any mixing assumptions on the base space of random dynamics. We establish a quenched central limit theorem and identify conditions under which the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Davor Dragičević , Juho Leppänen