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For a stopped diffusion process in a multidimensional time-dependent domain $\D$, we propose and analyse a new procedure consisting in simulating the process with an Euler scheme with step size $\Delta$ and stopping it at discrete times…
The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…
This paper introduces a framework for simulating finite dimensional representations of (jump) diffusion sample paths over finite intervals, without discretisation error (exactly), in such a way that the sample path can be restored at any…
This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusion processes with killing on $[0,\infty)$. We obtain criteria for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total…
We study the nonparametric calibration of exponential L\'{e}vy models with infinite jump activity. In particular our analysis applies to self-decomposable processes whose jump density can be characterized by the $k$-function, which is…
This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the function $J_0$ computed from multiple independent observations on $[0,T]$ of the process $Z$ defined by $dZ_t = J_0(t)d\langle M\rangle_t + dM_t$, where $M$ is a continuous…
We study the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a renewal reward process from one discretely observed sample path over [0,T]. We consider the regime when the sampling rate goes to 0. The main difficulty is that a renewal reward…
We study a Bayesian approach to nonparametric estimation of the periodic drift function of a one-dimensional diffusion from continuous-time data. Rewriting the likelihood in terms of local time of the process, and specifying a Gaussian…
We develop an encounter-based approach for describing restricted diffusion with a gradient drift towards a partially reactive boundary. For this purpose, we introduce an extension of the Dirichlet-to-Neumann operator and use its eigenbasis…
Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…
This paper deals with the process $X = (X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ defined by the stochastic differential equation (SDE) $dX_t = (a(X_t) + b(Y_t))dt +\sigma(X_t)dW_1(t)$, where $W_1$ is a Brownian motion and $Y$ is an exogenous process. The first…
Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…
This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…
The real life time series are usually nonstationary, bringing a difficult question of model adaptation. Classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH assume arbitrary type of dependence. To avoid their bias, we will focus on recently proposed…
We study one-dimensional multi-particle Diffusion Limited Aggregation (MDLA) at its critical density $\lambda=1$. Previous works have verified that the size of the aggregate $X_t$ at time $t$ is $t^{1/2}$ in the subcritical regime and…
Biochemical reactions can happen on different time scales and also the abundance of species in these reactions can be very different from each other. Classical approaches, such as deterministic or stochastic approach, fail to account for or…
We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…
We introduce the bivariate jump-diffusion process, comprising two-dimensional diffusion and two-dimensional jumps, that can be coupled to one another. We present a data-driven, non-parametric estimation procedure of higher-order (up to 8)…
We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…
For a diffusion process $X(t)$ of drift $\mu(x)$ and of diffusion coefficient $D=1/2$, we study the joint distribution of the two local times $A(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)) $ and $B(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)-L) $ at…