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We present a simple dynamical model to address the question of introducing a stochastic nature in a time variable. This model includes noise in the time variable but not in the "space" variable, which is opposite to the normal description…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-11-26 Toru Ohira

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

Time series modeling and forecasting has fundamental importance to various practical domains. Thus a lot of active research works is going on in this subject during several years. Many important models have been proposed in literature for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

In this note we extend to the random, stationary ergodic setting previous results of periodic homogenization for a particular family of nonlinear nonlocal "elliptic" equations with oscillatory coefficients. Such equations include, but are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Russell W. Schwab

A generic non-integrable (unitary) out-of-equilibrium quantum process, when interrogated across many times, is shown to yield the same statistics as an (non-unitary) equilibrated process. In particular, using the tools of quantum stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-18 Neil Dowling , Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Felix A. Pollock , Philipp Strasberg , Kavan Modi

This paper is concerned with the study of the stability of dynamical systems evolving on time scales. We first {formalize the notion of matrix measures on time scales, prove some of their key properties and make use of this notion to study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giovanni Russo , Fabian Wirth

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

The aim of this paper is to give a simpler, more usable sufficient condition to the regularity of generic weakly stationary time series. Also, this condition is used to show how regular processes satisfying these sufficient conditions can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Tamás Szabados

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

Spectroscopically measuring low levels of non-equilibrium phenomena (e.g. emission in the presence of a large thermal background) can be problematic due to an unfavorable signal-to-noise ratio. An approach is presented to use time-series…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-04-08 John Scoville

Two time scale stochastic approximation is analyzed when the iterates on either or both time scales do not necessarily converge.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Vivek S Borkar

This study concerns problems of time-series forecasting under the weakest of assumptions. Related results are surveyed and are points of departure for the developments here, some of which are new and others are new derivations of previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 L. Gyorfi , G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz

This paper provides a new unified framework for second-moment stability of discrete-time linear systems with stochastic dynamics. Relations of notions of second-moment stability are studied for the systems with general stochastic dynamics,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-04 Yohei Hosoe , Tomomichi Hagiwara

The vast majority of the literature on learning dynamical systems or stochastic processes from time series has focused on stable or ergodic systems, for both Bayesian and frequentist inference procedures. However, most real-world systems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Zachary P Adams , Sayan Mukherjee

We analyze the properties of arguably the simplest bilinear stochastic multiplicative process, proposed as a model of financial returns and of other complex systems combining both nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. By construction, it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , V. F. Pisarenko

We consider asymptotic problems in spectral analysis of stationary causal processes. Limiting distributions of periodograms and smoothed periodogram spectral density estimates are obtained and applications to the spectral domain bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Xiaofeng Shao , Wei Biao Wu

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu