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A common way to simulate the transport and spread of pollutants in the atmosphere is via stochastic Lagrangian dispersion models. Mathematically, these models describe turbulent transport processes with stochastic differential equations…

Multilevel Splitting is a Sequential Monte Carlo method to simulate realisations of a rare event as well as to estimate its probability. This article is concerned with the convergence and the fluctuation analysis of Adaptive Multilevel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Frederic Cerou , Arnaud Guyader

We present a new, for plasma physics, highly efficient multilevel Monte Carlo numerical method for simulating Coulomb collisions. The method separates and optimally minimizes the finite-timestep and finite-sampling errors inherent in the…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2015-08-12 M. S. Rosin , L. F. Ricketson , A. M. Dimits , R. E. Caflisch , B. I. Cohen

We propose a control variate multilevel Monte Carlo method for the kinetic BGK model of the Boltzmann equation subject to random inputs. The method combines a multilevel Monte Carlo technique with the computation of the optimal control…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Jingwei Hu , Lorenzo Pareschi , Yubo Wang

We are concerned with the numerical resolution of backward stochastic differential equations. We propose a new numerical scheme based on iterative regressions on function bases, which coefficients are evaluated using Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Emmanuel Gobet , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Xavier Warin

Monte Carlo methods are widely used in particle physics to integrate and sample probability distributions (differential cross sections or decay rates) on multi-dimensional phase spaces. We present a Neural Network (NN) algorithm optimized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Matthew D. Klimek , Maxim Perelstein

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

Multilevel Monte Carlo can efficiently compute statistical estimates of discretized random variables, for a given error tolerance. Traditionally, only a certain statistic is computed from a particular implementation of multilevel Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter

We extend previously developed two-level coarsening procedures for graph Laplacian problems written in a mixed saddle point form to the fully recursive multilevel case. The resulting hierarchy of discretizations gives rise to a hierarchy of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Andrew T. Barker , Stephan V. Gelever , Chak S. Lee , Sarah V. Osborn , Panayot S. Vassilevski

We propose and analyze deterministic multilevel approximations for Bayesian inversion of operator equations with uncertain distributed parameters, subject to additive Gaussian measurement data. The algorithms use a multilevel (ML) approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Josef Dick , Robert N. Gantner , Quoc T. Le Gia , Christoph Schwab

This work is motivated by the need to develop efficient tools for uncertainty quantification in subsurface flows associated with radioactive waste disposal studies. We consider single phase flow problems in random porous media described by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Ivan G. Graham , Robert Scheichl , Elisabeth Ullmann

We propose a multilevel Monte Carlo-FEM algorithm to solve elliptic Bayesian inverse problems with "Besov random tree prior". These priors are given by a wavelet series with stochastic coefficients, and certain terms in the expansion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Andreas Stein , Viet Ha Hoang

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Tau-leaping is a popular discretization method for generating approximate paths of continuous time, discrete space, Markov chains, notably for biochemical reaction systems. To compute expected values in this context, an appropriate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-04 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Multilevel Monte Carlo is a key tool for approximating integrals involving expensive scientific models. The idea is to use approximations of the integrand to construct an estimator with improved accuracy over classical Monte Carlo. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-15 Kaiyu Li , Daniel Giles , Toni Karvonen , Serge Guillas , François-Xavier Briol

We develop a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework for uncertainty quantification with Monte Carlo dropout. Treating dropout masks as a source of epistemic randomness, we define a fidelity hierarchy by the number of stochastic forward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Aaron Pim , Tristan Pryer

In this paper, we introduce a type of tensor neural network based machine learning method to solve elliptic multiscale problems. Based on the special structure, we can do the direct and highly accurate high dimensional integrations for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Zhongshuo Lin , Haochen Liu , Hehu Xie

We generalize the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method of Giles to the simulation of systems of particles that interact via a mean field. When the number of particles is large, these systems are described by a McKean-Vlasov process - a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-11 L. F. Ricketson

We present in this paper a hybrid, Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for solving the neutral particle transport equation. MLMC methods, originally developed to solve parametric integration problems, work by using a cheap, low fidelity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Vincent N. Novellino , Dmitriy Y. Anistratov