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Large deviations principle is obtained for terminating multidimensional compound renewal processes. We also obtained the asymptotic of large deviations for the case when a Gibbs change of the original probability measure takes place. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 A. Logachov , A. Mogulskii , E. Prokopenko

Using the weak convergence approach, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for solutions to quasilinear stochastic evolution equations with small Gaussian noise in the critical variational setting, a recently developed general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Esmée Theewis , Mark Veraar

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$ and $\tilde Z_n(t)=\int…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Xiaoqiang Wang , Chunmao Huang

The problem of quantifying uncertainty about the locations of multiple change points by means of confidence intervals is addressed. The asymptotic distribution of the change point estimators obtained as the local maximisers of moving sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

We obtain asymptotic expansions for the large deviation principle (LDP) for continuous time stochastic processes with weakly dependent increments. As a key example, we show that additive functionals of solutions of stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Kasun Fernando , Pratima Hebbar

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We prove a Large Deviations Principle (LDP) for systems of diffusions (particles) interacting through their ranks, when the number of particles tends to infinity. We show that the limiting particle density is given by the unique solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Amir Dembo , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , S. R. Srinivasa Varadhan , Ofer Zeitouni

The functional delta-method has a wide range of applications in statistics. Applications on functionals of empirical processes yield various limit results for classical statistics. To improve the finite sample properties of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Merle Munko , Dennis Dobler

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

A general notion of bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates constructed by exchangeably weighting sample is introduced. Asymptotic properties of these generalized bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates are obtained, by mean of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Mohamed Cherfi

This paper is concerned with false discovery rate (FDR) control in large-scale multiple testing problems. We first propose a new data-driven testing procedure for controlling the FDR in large-scale t-tests for one-sample mean problem. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Changliang Zou , Haojie Ren , Xu Guo , Runze Li

We combine hydrodynamic and modulated energy techniques to study the large deviations of systems of particles with pairwise singular repulsive interactions and additive noise. Specifically, we examine periodic Riesz interactions indexed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Elias Hess-Childs

Much work in the study of large deviations for random graph models is focused on the dense regime where the theory of graphons has emerged as a principal tool. These tools do not give a good approach to large deviation problems for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

Since the pioneering works of Jakobson and Benedicks & Carleson and others, it has been known that a positive measure set of quadratic maps admit invariant probability measures absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue. These measures…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Yong Moo Chung , Hiroki Takahasi

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

We prove sample path moderate deviation principles (MDP) for the current and the tagged particle in the symmetric simple exclusion process, which extends the results in \cite{xue2023moderate}, where the MDP was only proved at any fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

Local differential privacy (LDP) enables private data sharing and analytics without the need for a trusted data collector. Error-optimal primitives (for, e.g., estimating means and item frequencies) under LDP have been well studied. For…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Zhuolun Xiang , Bolin Ding , Xi He , Jingren Zhou

In this paper we introduce the concept of bootstrapped pivots for the sample and the population means. This is in contrast to the classical method of constructing bootstrapped confidence intervals for the population mean via estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M Nasari

The aim of this note is to announce some results about the probabilistic and deterministic asymptotic properties of linear groups. The first one is the analogue, for norms of random matrix products, of the classical theorem of Cramer on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cagri Sert

We study the out-of-sample properties of robust empirical optimization problems with smooth $\phi$-divergence penalties and smooth concave objective functions, and develop a theory for data-driven calibration of the non-negative "robustness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jun-Ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim
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