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In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Anselmo Pontes

We give rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences satisfying some projective criteria. The conditions are expressed in terms of conditional expectations of partial sums of the initial sequence. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Florence Merlevède

The paper is devoted to studying the asymptotics of the family $(\mu^\varepsilon)$ of stationary measures of the Markov process generated by the flow of stochastic 2D Navier-Stokes equation with smooth white noise. By using the large…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Davit Martirosyan

We prove a sharp large deviation principle concerning intervals shrinking with sub-exponential speed for certain models involving the Poincar\'e map related to a Markov family for an Axiom A flow restricted to a basic set $\Lambda$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Vesselin Petkov , Luchezar Stoyanov

In this paper, we study large deviation principles of nonlinear filtering for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. First of all, we establish the large deviation principle for the space-distribution dependent Zakai equation by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Huijie Qiao , Shengqing Zhu

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

In this article, we develop a framework to study the large deviation principle for matrix models and their quantized versions, by tilting the measures using the limits of spherical integrals obtained in [46,47]. As examples, we obtain 1. a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Serban Belinschi , Alice Guionnet , Jiaoyang Huang

The unpredictability of chaotic nonlinear dynamics leads naturally to statistical descriptions, including probabilistic limit laws such as the central limit theorem and large deviation principle. A key tool in the Nagaev-Guivarc'h spectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Harry Crimmins , Gary Froyland

In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-19 A. Faggionato

We prove pathwise large-deviation principles of switching Markov processes by exploiting the connection to associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations, following Jin Feng's and Thomas Kurtz's method. In the limit that we consider, we show how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Mark A. Peletier , Mikola C. Schlottke

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

This work concerns generalized backward stochastic differential equations, which are coupled with a family of reflecting diffusion processes. First of all, we establish the large deviation principle for forward stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Yawen Liu , Huijie Qiao

This paper provides a large deviation principle for Non-Markovian, Brownian motion driven stochastic differential equations with random coefficients. Similar to Gao and Liu \cite{GL}, this extends the corresponding results collected in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Jin Ma , Zhenjie Ren , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

The inference of Markov models from data on stochastic dynamical trajectories over the large time-window $T$ is revisited via the Large Deviations at Level 2.5 for the time-empirical density and the time-empirical flows. The goal is to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-01 Cecile Monthus

We consider a borderline case: the central limit theorem for a strictly stationary time series with infinite variance but a Gaussian limit. In the iid case a well-known sufficient condition for this central limit theorem is regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space and prove a joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and the empirical flow, which accounts for the total number of jumps between pairs of states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Lorenzo Bertini , Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli

Under a Zariski density assumption, we extend the classical theorem of Cramer on large deviations of sums of iid real random variables to random matrix products.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Cagri Sert

This note develops Rio's proof [C. R. Math. Acad. Sci. Paris, 1995] of the rate of convergence in the Marcinkiewicz--Zygmund strong law of large numbers to the case of sums of dependent random variables with regularly varying normalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Nguyen Chi Dzung , Lê Vǎn Thành

This paper studies an infinite-server queue in a random environment, meaning that the arrival rate, the service requirements and the server work rate are modulated by a general c\`{a}dl\`{a}g stochastic background process. To prove a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 H. M. Jansen , M. R. H. Mandjes , K. De Turck , S. Wittevrongel