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Cheek and Johnston (Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2023) consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree conditioned on being alive at time $T$. They study the reproduction events along the ancestral lineage of an individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jan Lukas Igelbrink , Jasper Ischebeck

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt

This article partakes of the PEGASE project the goal of which is a better understanding of the mechanisms explaining the behaviour of species living in a network of forest patches linked by ecological corridors (hedges for instance).…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Gauthier Delvoye , Olivier Goubet , Frédéric Paccaut

In the small phylogeny problem we, are given a phylogenetic tree and gene orders of the extant species and our goal is to reconstruct all of the ancestral genomes so that the number of evolutionary operations is minimized. Algorithms for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Jakub Kováč , Broňa Brejová , Tomáš Vinař

Given an evolutionary model, such as Wright--Fisher (WF) or Moran, the n-coalescent problem consists of going backward in time to find for example the time to the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) and the topology of the tree. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-14 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

We consider a neutral dynamical model of biological diversity, where individuals live and reproduce independently. They have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-06 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

Migrations have played an important role in shaping the genetic diversity of human populations. Understanding genomic data thus requires careful modeling of historical gene flow. Here we consider the effect of relatively recent population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-26 Simon Gravel

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We provide a detailed description of the structure of the transition probabilities and of the hitting distributions of boundary components of a manifold with corners for a degenerate strong Markov process arising in population genetics. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Charles L. Epstein , Camelia A. Pop

We investigate the behaviour of the genealogy of a Wright-Fisher population model under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect. More precisely, we consider a simple seed-bank age distribution with two atoms, leading to either classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt

Reconstructing the tree of life from molecular sequences is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Modern data sets often contain a large number of genes, which can complicate the reconstruction problem due to the fact that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Constantinos Daskalakis , Sebastien Roch

We consider a neutral haploid population whose generations are not overlapping and whose size is large and constantly of $N$ individuals. Any generation is replaced by a new one and any individual has a single parent. We do not choose the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Maurizio Serva

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye

Understanding patterns of selectively neutral genetic variation is essential in order to model deviations from neutrality, caused for example by different forms of selection. Best understood is neutral genetic variation at a single locus,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 E. Schaper , A. Eriksson , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig

Phylogenetic networks are an extension of phylogenetic trees which are used to represent evolutionary histories in which reticulation events (such as recombination and hybridization) have occurred. A central question for such networks is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-28 Andrew Francis , Vincent Moulton

The genealogy at a single locus of a constant size $N$ population in equilibrium is given by the well-known Kingman's coalescent. When considering multiple loci under recombination, the ancestral recombination graph encodes the genealogies…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-10 Andrej Depperschmidt , Etienne Pardoux , Peter Pfaffelhuber

We investigate a neutral model for speciation and extinction, the constant rate birth-death process. The process is conditioned to have $n$ extant species today, we look at the tree distribution of the reconstructed trees-- i.e. the trees…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Tanja Gernhard

Under the effect of strong genetic drift, it is highly probable to observe gene fixation or gene loss in a population, shown by infinite peaks on a coherently constructed potential energy landscape. It is then important to ask what such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Song Xu , Shuyun Jiao , Pengyao Jiang , Ping Ao