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Due to the conventional distinction between ecological (rapid) and evolutionary (slow)timescales, ecological and population models to date have typically ignored the effects of evolution. Yet the potential for rapid evolutionary change has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-20 Laura E. Jones , Stephen P. Ellner

We propose a stochastic model for evolution through mutation and natural selection of a population that evolves on a $\bbT_d^+$ tree. We think of this model as a way of describing the evolution fitness landscape of a population. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

The present paper is devoted to the study of the long term dynamics of diffusion processes modelling a single species that experiences both demographic and environmental stochasticity. In our setting, the long term dynamics of the diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

Ecosystems frequently display the coexistence of diverse species under resource competition, typically resulting in skewed distributions of rarity and abundance. A potential driver of such coexistence is environmental fluctuations that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-07 Davide Zanchetta , Deepak Gupta , Sofia Moschin , Samir Suweis , Amos Maritan , Sandro Azaele

Stochastic, spatially extended models for predator-prey interaction display spatio-temporal structures that are not captured by the Lotka-Volterra mean-field rate equations. These spreading activity fronts reflect persistent correlations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Uwe C. Täuber

Depletion of natural and artificial resources is a fundamental problem and a potential cause of economic crises, ecological catastrophes, and death of living organisms. Understanding the depletion process is crucial for its further control…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-06 Denis S. Grebenkov

Despite tremendous interest in the topic and decades of research, the origins of the major losses of biodiversity in the history of life on Earth remain elusive. A variety of possible causes for these mass-extinction events have been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-25 Georg Feulner

Climate-mediated changes in the spatiotemporal distribution of thermal stress can destabilize animal populations and promote extinction risk. Using quantile, spectral, and wavelet analyses of temperature projections from the latest…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-22 Kate Duffy , Tarik C. Gouhier , Auroop R. Ganguly

The degree to which population fluctuations arise from variable adult survival relative to variable recruitment has been debated widely for marine organisms. Disentangling these effects remains challenging because data generally are not…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-26 Daniel K. Okamoto , Russell J. Schmitt , Sally J. Holbrook

Extinction appears ubiquitously in many fields, including chemical reactions, population biology, evolution, and epidemiology. Even though extinction as a random process is a rare event, its occurrence is observed in large finite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-22 Ira B. Schwartz , Eric Forgoston , Simone Bianco , Leah B. Shaw

We investigate the salience of extinction risk as a source of impatience. Our framework distinguishes between human extinction risk and individual mortality risk while allowing for various degrees of intergenerational altruism.…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-08 Jakub Growiec , Klaus Prettner

We describe a simple model of evolution which incorporates the branching and extinction of species lines, and also includes abiotic influences. A first principles approach is taken in which the probability for speciation and extinction are…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 D. A. Head , G. J. Rodgers

The extinction and persistence of infective individuals are closely related to the random change of the environment. In this paper, via the random/stochastic SIRS models, we analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the impact caused by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao

Density dependence is important in the ecology and evolution of microbial and cancer cells. Typically, we can only measure net growth rates, but the underlying density-dependent mechanisms that give rise to the observed dynamics can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-04 Linh Huynh , Jacob G. Scott , Peter J. Thomas

We present a stochastic model for the size of a taxon in paleobiology, in which we allow for the evolution of new taxon members, and both individual and catastrophic extinction events. The model uses ideas from the theory of birth and death…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Barry D. Hughes , William J. Reed

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We studied metastability and extinction time of a finite system with a large number of interacting components in discrete time by means of analytical and numerical investigation. The system is markovian with respect to the potential profile…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-12-27 L. Brochini , M. Abadi

The dynamics of species' densities depend both on internal and external variables. Internal variables include frequencies of individuals exhibiting different phenotypes or living in different spatial locations. External variables include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-28 Michel Benaïm , Sebastian J. Schreiber

We consider the problem of extinction processes on random networks with a given structure. For sufficiently large well-mixed populations, the process of extinction of one or more state variable components occurs in the tail of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-13 Brandon S. Lindley , Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

We study the multi-species replicator model with linear fitness and random fitness matrices of various classes. By means of numerical resolution of the replicator equations, we determine the survival probability of a species in terms of its…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Sebastian Bouzat , Damian Zanette