Related papers: A specification test for nonlinear nonstationary m…
This paper explores the theoretical limits of using discrete abstractions for nonlinear control synthesis. More specifically, we consider the problem of deciding continuous-time control with temporal logic specifications. We prove that…
Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size,…
Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…
Nonstationarity is ubiquitous in practical classification settings, leading deployed models to perform poorly even when they generalize well to holdout sets available at training time. We address this by reframing nonstationary…
The spectral distribution $f(\omega)$ of a stationary time series $\{Y_t\}_{t\in\mathbb{Z}}$ can be used to investigate whether or not periodic structures are present in $\{Y_t\}_{t\in\mathbb{Z}}$, but $f(\omega)$ has some limitations due…
We provide a unified framework for independence and mean independence tests based on the Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion, extending some previous results in the literature to hold in general topological spaces. We also present a…
The method to derive uniform bounds with Gaussian and Rademacher complexities is extended to the case where the sample average is replaced by a nonlinear statistic. Tight bounds are obtained for U-statistics, smoothened L-statistics and…
Discrete-time models of non-uniformly sampled nonlinear systems under zero-order hold relate the next state sample to the current state sample, (constant) input value, and sampling interval. The exact discrete-time model, that is, the…
Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…
Nonparametric cointegrating regression models have been extensively used in financial markets, stock prices, heavy traffic, climate data sets, and energy markets. Models with parametric regression functions can be more appealing in practice…
In this article, we show that a general class of weakly stationary time series can be modeled applying Gaussian subordinated processes. We show that, for any given weakly stationary time series $(z_t)_{z\in\mathbb{N}}$ with given equal…
This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…
New goodness-of-fit tests for Markovian models in time series analysis are developed which are based on the difference between a fully nonparametric estimate of the one-step transition distribution function of the observed process and that…
We propose behavioral specification theories for most equivalences in the linear-time--branching-time spectrum. Almost all previous work on specification theories focuses on bisimilarity, but there is a clear interest in specification…
Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…
We study the problem of distributional approximations to high-dimensional non-degenerate $U$-statistics with random kernels of diverging orders. Infinite-order $U$-statistics (IOUS) are a useful tool for constructing simultaneous prediction…
Graphical models are ubiquitous for summarizing conditional relations in multivariate data. In many applications involving multivariate time series, it is of interest to learn an interaction graph that treats each individual time series as…
We introduce a new class of nonstationary kernels, which we derive as covariance functions of a novel family of stochastic processes we refer to as string Gaussian processes (string GPs). We construct string GPs to allow for multiple types…
In this paper, we propose a general method for testing inequality restrictions on nonparametric functions. Our framework includes many nonparametric testing problems in a unified framework, with a number of possible applications in auction…
Convergence rates of kernel density estimators for stationary time series are well studied. For invertible linear processes, we construct a new density estimator that converges, in the supremum norm, at the better, parametric, rate…