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Recent experimental determinations of the spectral index describing the scalar mode spectrum of density perturbations encourage comparison with predictions from models of the very early universe. Unlike extended inflation, Induced-gravity…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-22 David Kaiser

As IPCC ARs stated, global warming is estimated based on the average from 1850 to 1900 (global average temperature of preindustrialization estimated from relatively sparse observations). Given the impossibility of massive increasing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-10 Qingxiang Li , Zichen Li , Xuqian Li , Zengyun Hu , Aiguo Dai , Wenjie Dong , Boyin Huang , Zhihong Jiang , Panmao Zhai , Tianjun Zhou , Phil Jones

We submit recent claims of a semi-significant detection of primordial tensor perturbations in the WMAP data to a closer scrutiny. Our conclusion is in brief that no such mode is present at a detectable level once the analysis is done more…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-03-21 Eirik Gjerløw , Øystein Elgarøy

Galor discovered many mysteries of the growth process. He lists them in his Unified Growth Theory and wonders how they can be explained. Close inspection of his mysteries reveals that they are of his own creation. They do not exist. He…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-21 Ron W Nielsen

In recent years Australia has observed a growing, unexplained resilience of increasing house price trends. Here, we seek to understand what is driving Australia's indestructible asset using insights from market experts. We construct a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Grace Burtenshaw , Ashley Burtenshaw , Meagan Carney

This paper introduces a new approach for estimating core inflation indicators based on common factors across a broad range of price indices. Specifically, by utilizing procedures for detecting multiple regimes in high-dimensional factor…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-21 Gabriel Rodriguez-Rondon

On the occasion of the last FIFA World Cup in Brazil, The Economist published a plot depicting how many goals have been scored in all World Cup competitions until present, minute by minute. The plot was followed by a naive and poorly…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-26 Nicola Mingotti

The economy globalization measure problem is discussed. Four macroeconomic indices of twenty among the "richest" countries are examined. Four types of "distances" are calculated.Two types of networks are next constructed for each distance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-04 Janusz Miskiewicz , Marcel Ausloos

Inflation is the currently accepted paradigm for the beginnings of the Universe. To explain the observed almost scale invariant spectrum of density perturbations with only a slight spectral tilt, inflation must have been "slow roll", that…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-01-07 Hao Geng

Once carbon emission neutrality and other sustainability goals have been achieved, a widespread assumption is that economic growth at current rates can be sustained beyond the 21st century. However, even if we achieve these goals, this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Andreas M. Hein , Jean-Baptiste Rudelle

A single social phenomenon (such as crime, unemployment or birth rate) can be observed through temporal series corresponding to units at different levels (cities, regions, countries...). Units at a given local level may follow a collective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-14 Marc Barthelemy , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Henri Berestycki

Starting from the idea of Tsallis on non-extensive statistical mechanics and the {\it q-entropy} notion, we recall the Theil index $Th$ and transform it into the $Th_q$ index. Both indices can be used to map onto themselves any time series…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-31 Marcel Ausloos , Janusz Miskiewicz

The accumulation of knowledge required to produce economic value is a process that often relates to nations economic growth. Such a relationship, however, is misleading when the proxy of such accumulation is the average years of education.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-19 Henry Laverde , Juan C. Correa , Klaus Jaffe

Studies of micro-level price datasets find more frequent small price increases than decreases, which can be explained by consumer inattention because time-constrained shoppers might ignore small price changes. Recent empirical studies of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-27 Daniel Levy , Haipeng , Chen , Sourav Ray , Elliot Charette , Xiao Ling , Weihong Zhao , Mark Bergen , Avichai Snir

This paper is intended as an investigation of the statistical properties of {\it absolute log-returns}, defined as the absolute value of the logarithmic price change, for the Nikkei 225 index in the 28-year period from January 4, 1975 to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-07 Taisei Kaizoji

Energy usage and GDP have been the subject of numerous studies over the past decades. It has been overlooked by previous studies that energy consumption correlates with economic growth in relation to GDP. This study uses threshold…

Assessing the contribution of various risk factors to future inflation risks was crucial for guiding monetary policy during the recent high inflation period. However, existing methodologies often provide limited insights by focusing solely…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Maximilian Schröder

Do governments adjust budgetary policy to rising public debt, precluding fiscal unsustainability? Using budget data for 52 industrial and emerging economies since 1990, we apply panel methods accounting for cross-sectional dependence and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Paolo Canofari , Alessandro Piergallini , Marco Tedeschi

Diversified economies are critical for cities to sustain their growth and development, but they are also costly because diversification often requires expanding a city's capability base. We analyze how cities manage this trade-off by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-20 Simone Daniotti , Matte Hartog , Frank Neffke

We present a thorough empirical study on real interest rates by also including risk aversion through the introduction of the market price of risk. With the view of complex systems science and its multidisciplinary approach, we use the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 J. Doyne Farmer , John Geanakoplos , Matteo G. Richiardi , Miquel Montero , Josep Perelló , Jaume Masoliver
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