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Covariate adjustment and methods of incorporating historical data in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) each provide opportunities to increase trial power. We unite these approaches for the analysis of RCTs with binary outcomes based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Alyssa M. Vanderbeek , Jessica L. Ross , David P. Miller , Alejandro Schuler

We discuss the binary nature of funding impact in derivative valuation. Under some conditions, funding is either a cost or a benefit, i.e., one of the lending/borrowing rates does not play a role in pricing derivatives. When derivatives are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Junbeom Lee , Chao Zhou

This work studies the dynamic risk management of the risk-neutral value of the potential credit losses on a portfolio of derivatives. Sensitivities-based hedging of such liability is sub-optimal because of bid-ask costs, pricing models…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-22 Roberto Daluiso , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Edoardo Vittori

Changes in collateralization have been implicated in significant default (or near-default) events during the financial crisis, most notably with AIG. We have developed a framework for quantifying this effect based on moving between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-20 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green

We present a continuous-time maximum likelihood estimation methodology for credit rating transition probabilities, taking into account the presence of censored data. We perform rolling estimates of the transition matrices with exponential…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-24 Arthur M. Berd

Over-the-counter derivatives have contributed significantly to the effectiveness and efficiency of the international financial system but also entail significant counterparty credit risk. Collateralization is one of the most important and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Jiali Liao , Ted Theodosopoulos

In this paper we extend the existing literature on xVA along three directions. First, we enhance current BSDE-based xVA frameworks to include initial margin in presence of defaults. Next, we solve the consistency problem that arises when…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Francesca Biagini , Alessandro Gnoatto , Immacolata Oliva

There exists a range of different models for estimating and simulating credit risk transitions to optimally manage credit risk portfolios and products. In this chapter we present a Coupled Markov Chain approach to model rating transitions…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Ronald Hochreiter , David Wozabal

The development of credit valuation adjustment (CVA) (valuation adjustments [XVA]) [Green] has increased the importance of simple interest rate models such as the Hull-White model [Tan14] [Tsuchiya]. This is because the XVA model is an FX…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Osamu Tsuchiya

We explore credit risk pricing by modeling equity as a call option and debt as the difference between the firm's asset value and a put option, following the structural framework of the Merton model. Our approach proceeds in two stages:…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Jagdish Gnawali , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev

The research presented in this work is motivated by recent papers by Brigo et al. (2011), Burgard and Kjaer (2009), Cr\'epey (2012), Fujii and Takahashi (2010), Piterbarg (2010) and Pallavicini et al. (2012). Our goal is to provide a sound…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-11 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Marek Rutkowski

In this study, we propose a new definition of multivariate conditional value-at-risk (MCVaR) as a set of vectors for discrete probability spaces. We explore the properties of the vector-valued MCVaR (VMCVaR) and show the advantages of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Merve Merakli , Simge Kucukyavuz

Derivative pricing is about cash flow discounting at the riskfree rate. This teaching has lost its meaning post the financial crisis, due to the addition of extra value adjustments (XVA), which also made derivatives pricing and valuation a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Wujiang Lou

Leveraging external or historical data to improve the efficiency of randomized clinical trials without introducing bias or inflating the Type I error rate remains challenging. Recent work on externally trained prognostic scores, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junyi Zhou , Qing Liu , May Mo , Amy Xia

In this paper, we have studied the pricing of a continuously collateralized CDS. We have made use of the "survival measure" to derive the pricing formula in a straightforward way. As a result, we have found that there exists irremovable…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-12 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

In this paper, we develop a theoretical framework for bounding the CVaR of a random variable $X$ using another related random variable $Y$, under assumptions on their cumulative and density functions. Our results yield practical tools for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Yaacov Pariente , Vadim Indelman

Reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a central technique for improving the reasoning capabilities of large language models. Despite its effectiveness, how response-level rewards translate into token-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Kaiyi Zhang , Wei Wu , Yankai Lin

Cash collateral is perfect in that it provides simultaneous counterparty credit risk protection and derivatives funding. Securities are imperfect collateral, because of collateral segregation or differences in CSA haircuts and repo…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Wujiang Lou

We present two methodologies on the estimation of rating transition probabilities within Markov and non-Markov frameworks. We first estimate a continuous-time Markov chain using discrete (missing) data and derive a simpler expression for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Marius Pfeuffer , Goncalo dos Reis , Greig smith

We consider the pricing and hedging of counterparty credit risk and funding when there is no possibility to hedge the jump to default of either the bank or the counterparty. This represents the situation which is most often encountered in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-20 Francesca Biagini , Alessandro Gnoatto , Katharina Oberpriller
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