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Financial models do not merely analyse markets, but actively shape them. This effect, known as performativity, describes how financial theories and the subsequent actions based on them influence market processes, by creating self-fulfilling…
Algorithmic recourse recommends a cost-efficient action to a subject to reverse an unfavorable machine learning classification decision. Most existing methods in the literature generate recourse under the assumption of complete knowledge…
For optimization models to be used in practice, it is crucial that users trust the results. A key factor in this aspect is the interpretability of the solution process. A previous framework for inherently interpretable optimization models…
In order to find experts, different approaches build rankings of people, assuming that they are ranked by level of expertise, and use typical Information Retrieval (IR) measures to evaluate their effectiveness. However, we figured out that…
User simulation has been a cost-effective technique for evaluating conversational recommender systems. However, building a human-like simulator is still an open challenge. In this work, we focus on how users reformulate their utterances…
This paper introduces an approach to reference class selection in distributional forecasting with an application to corporate sales growth rates using several co-variates as reference variables, that are implicit predictors. The method can…
Citation recommendation systems have attracted much academic interest, resulting in many studies and implementations. These systems help authors automatically generate proper citations by suggesting relevant references based on the text…
Firms that price perishable resources -- airline seats, hotel rooms, seasonal inventory -- now routinely use demand predictions, but these predictions vary widely in quality. Under hard capacity constraints, acting on an inaccurate…
This article presents a reformulation of the Theory of Functional Connections: a general methodology for functional interpolation that can embed a set of user-specified linear constraints. The reformulation presented in this paper exploits…
We live in a world driven by data. The amount of it outgrows anyone's ability to oversee it or even observe its scope. Along with all the advances in the space of data management, there is still a significant lack of formalism and…
Despite the importance of having a measure of confidence in recommendation results, it has been surprisingly overlooked in the literature compared to the accuracy of the recommendation. In this dissertation, I propose a model calibration…
This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…
We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We study rate of convergence of recursive estimation procedures for the general…
We consider the valuation of contingent claims with delayed dynamics in a Black&Scholes complete market model. We find a pricing formula that can be decomposed into terms reflecting the market values of the past and the present, showing how…
We provide closed-form market equilibrium formula consolidating informational imperfections and investors beliefs. Based on Merton's model, we characterize the equilibrium expected excess returns vector with incomplete information. We then…
An important question in economics is how people choose between different payments in the future. The classical normative model predicts that a decision maker discounts a later payment relative to an earlier one by an exponential function…
Automatic metrics are used as proxies to evaluate abstractive summarization systems when human annotations are too expensive. To be useful, these metrics should be fine-grained, show a high correlation with human annotations, and ideally be…
This paper presents a study of the metaphorism pattern of relational specification, showing how it can be refined into recursive programs. Metaphorisms express input-output relationships which preserve relevant information while at the same…
This paper proposes a novel method for demand forecasting in a pricing context. Here, modeling the causal relationship between price as an input variable to demand is crucial because retailers aim to set prices in a (profit) optimal manner…
In the framework of an incomplete financial market where the stock price dynamics are modeled by a continuous semimartingale (not necessarily Markovian) an explicit second-order expansion formula for the power investor's value function -…