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Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Maximum likelihood estimation is effective for identifying dynamical systems, but applying it to large networks becomes computationally prohibitive. This paper introduces a maximum likelihood estimation method that enables identification of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

Tree ensembles (TEs) find a multitude of practical applications. They represent one of the most general and accurate classes of machine learning methods. While they are typically quite concise in representation, their operation remains…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Yacine Izza , Alexey Ignatiev , Xuanxiang Huang , Peter J. Stuckey , Joao Marques-Silva

Generalized Linear Models are routinely used in data analysis. The classical procedures for estimation are based on Maximum Likelihood and it is well known that the presence of outliers can have a large impact on this estimator. Robust…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-02 Marina Valdora , Claudio Agostinelli , Victor J. Yohai

We propose using a discounted version of a convex combination of the log-likelihood with the corresponding expected log-likelihood such that when they are maximized they yield a filter, predictor and smoother for time series. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Simon Donker van Heel , Neil Shephard

The composite likelihood (CL) is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) in the context of bivariate meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies. Its advantage is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-12 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

In this study, a family of distributions called cubic lower record-based transmuted is provided. A special case of this family is proposed as an alternative exponential distribution. Several statistical properties are explored. We utilize…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Caner Tanış

In this work, we propose a new estimation method of a Structural Equation Model. Our method is based on the EM likelihood-maximization algorithm. We show that this method provides estimators, not only of the coefficients of the model, but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Xavier Bry , Christian Lavergne , Myriam Tami

We propose generalized resubstitution error estimators for regression, a broad family of estimators, each corresponding to a choice of empirical probability measures and loss function. The usual sum of squares criterion is a special case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Diego Marcondes , Ulisses Braga-Neto

We consider estimating the proportion of random variables for two types of composite null hypotheses: (i) the means of the random variables belonging to a non-empty, bounded interval; (ii) the means of the random variables belonging to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Xiongzhi Chen

In many fields of science, generalized likelihood ratio tests are established tools for statistical inference. At the same time, it has become increasingly common that a simulator (or generative model) is used to describe complex processes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-21 Kyle Cranmer , Juan Pavez , Gilles Louppe

Ensemble methods are among the state-of-the-art predictive modeling approaches. Applied to modern big data, these methods often require a large number of sub-learners, where the complexity of each learner typically grows with the size of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Amichai Painsky , Saharon Rosset

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

We consider a discrete latent variable model for two-way data arrays, which allows one to simultaneously produce clusters along one of the data dimensions (e.g. exchangeable observational units or features) and contiguous groups, or…

The $\lambda$-exponential family generalizes the standard exponential family via a generalized convex duality motivated by optimal transport. It is the constant-curvature analogue of the exponential family from the information-geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiwei Tian , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong , Jiaowen Yang , Jun Zhang

Many common loss functions such as mean-squared-error, cross-entropy, and reconstruction loss are unnecessarily rigid. Under a probabilistic interpretation, these common losses correspond to distributions with fixed shapes and scales. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Mark Hamilton , Evan Shelhamer , William T. Freeman

Relative error estimation has been recently used in regression analysis. A crucial issue of the existing relative error estimation procedures is that they are sensitive to outliers. To address this issue, we employ the $\gamma$-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-17 Kei Hirose , Hiroki Masuda

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

Let $X$ be a random vector with distribution $P_{\theta}$ where $\theta$ is an unknown parameter. When estimating $\theta$ by some estimator $\varphi(X)$ under a loss function $L(\theta,\varphi)$, classical decision theory advocates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 Dominique Fourdrinier , Martin T. Wells

Growth in both size and complexity of modern data challenges the applicability of traditional likelihood-based inference. Composite likelihood (CL) methods address the difficulties related to model selection and computational intractability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari
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