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One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan

We consider a time series model involving a fractional stochastic component, whose integration order can lie in the stationary/invertible or nonstationary regions and be unknown, and an additive deterministic component consisting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of Green functions associated to partially homogeneous random walks in the quadrant $Z_+^2$. There are four possible distributions for the jumps of these processes, depending on the location…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

We develop an abstract operator-theoretic variational principle for asymptotic growth rates arising from subadditive processes driven by Markov operators: for each invariant measure on the base, the growth rate equals the supremum of fiber…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Pablo G. Barrientos , Isaia Nisoli

We analyse the so-called Marginal Instability of linear switching systems, both in continuous and discrete time. This is a phenomenon of unboundedness of trajectories when the Lyapunov exponent is zero. We disprove two recent conjectures of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Vladimir Y. Protasov , Raphael M. Jungers

We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian , Ercan Sönmez

Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) is a popular approach to sample from high dimensional distributions, and the asymptotic variance is a commonly used criterion to evaluate the performance. While most popular MCMC algorithms are reversible,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Chi-Hao Wu , Ting-Li Chen

We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

In this work we study the asymptotic of renewal sequences associated with certain transient renewal Markov chains and enquire about the existence of limit laws in this set up.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Dalia Terhesiu

In this lectures various methods which give a possibility to extend an area of applicability of perturbation series and hence to omit their local character are analysed. While applying asymptotic methods as a rule the following situation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-19 I. V. Andrianov , H. Topol

In any Markov chain with finite state space the distribution of transition records always belongs to the exponential family. This observation is used to prove a fluctuation theorem, and to show that the dynamical entropy of a stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jan Naudts , Erik Van der Straeten

In this thesis we show that the partial sums of the Maclaurin series for a certain class of entire functions possess scaling limits in various directions in the complex plane. In doing so we obtain information about the zeros of the partial…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Antonio R. Vargas

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

We consider irreversible Markov chains on finite commutative rings randomly generated using both addition and multiplication. We restrict ourselves to the case where the addition is uniformly random and multiplication is arbitrary. We first…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the autocovariance sequence resulting from a reversible Markov chain. A motivating application for studying this problem is the estimation of the asymptotic variance in central limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Stephen Berg , Hyebin Song

We study the recurrence/transience phase transition for Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}_+$, $\mathbb{R}$, and $\mathbb{R}^2$ whose increments have heavy tails with exponent in $(1,2)$ and asymptotically zero mean. This is the infinite-variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Nicholas Georgiou , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Andrew R. Wade

The linear response of non-equilibrium systems with Markovian dynamics satisfies a generalized fluctuation-dissipation relation derived from time symmetry and antisymmetry properties of the fluctuations. The relation involves the sum of two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-07 Juan Ruben Gomez-Solano , Artyom Petrosyan , Sergio Ciliberto , Christian Maes

We consider a transient Brownian motion reflected obliquely in a two-dimensional wedge. A precise asymptotic expansion of Green's functions is found in all directions. To this end, we first determine a kernel functional equation connecting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-30 Sandro Franceschi , Irina Kourkova , Maxence Petit

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra