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This letter studies a distribution-free, finite-sample data perturbation (DP) method, the Residual-Permuted Sums (RPS), which is an alternative of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) algorithm, to construct confidence regions. While SPS assumes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

Reparameterizing a probabilisitic system is common advice for improving the performance of a statistical algorithm like Markov chain Monte Carlo, even though in theory such reparameterizations should leave the system, and the performance of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-10-22 Michael Betancourt

This paper revisits the classical inference results for profile quasi maximum likelihood estimators (profile MLE) in the semiparametric estimation problem. We mainly focus on two prominent theorems: the Wilks phenomenon and Fisher expansion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Andreas Andresen , Vladimir Spokoiny

In this paper, we study a class of non-parametric density estimators under Bayesian settings. The estimators are piecewise constant functions on binary partitions. We analyze the concentration rate of the posterior distribution under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Although the Cox proportional hazards model is well established and extensively used in the analysis of survival data, the proportional hazards (PH) assumption may not always hold in practical scenarios. The class of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Junkai Yin , Yue Zhang , Zhangsheng Yu

Single index linear models for binary response with random coefficients have been extensively employed in many econometric settings under various parametric specifications of the distribution of the random coefficients. Nonparametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-15 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker

We establish a stability result for the Shannon-McMillan-Breiman theorem on the one-sided finite shift space. For any shift-invariant probability measure P and any data-dependent parsing whose number of blocks is sublinear in N almost…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Raphael Grondin

In previous papers of this series, we presented a formalism able to account for both statistical equilibrium of a multilevel atom and coherent and incoherent scatterings (partial redistribution). aims: This paper provides theoretical…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 V. Bommier

We address numerical differentiation under coarse, non-uniform sampling and Gaussian noise. A maximum-likelihood estimator with $L_2$-norm constraint on a higher-order derivative is obtained, yielding spline-based solution. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Konstantin E. Avrachenkov , Leonid B. Freidovich

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and estimation in additive, partially linear models for longitudinal/clustered data. We propose an estimation procedure via polynomial splines to estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Shujie Ma , Qiongxia Song , Li Wang

We show that in any Euclidean space, an arbitrary probability measure can be reconstructed explicitly by its geometric (or spatial) distribution function. The reconstruction takes the form of a (potentially fractional) linear PDE, where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Dimitri Konen

This work studies the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors and multidimensional parameter. The observations are collected in a two-stage experimental design and are dependent since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Nancy Flournoy , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

We study the problem of estimating parameters of the limiting equation of a multiscale diffusion in the case of averaging and homogenization, given data from the corresponding multiscale system. First, we review some recent results that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-18 Anastasia Papavasiliou

We consider a broadcasting problem on a tree where a binary digit (e.g., a spin or a nucleotide's purine/pyrimidine type) is propagated from the root to the leaves through symmetric noisy channels on the edges that randomly flip the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch , Allan Sly

This study proposes a radically alternate approach for extracting quantitative information from schlieren images. The method uses a scaled, derivative enhanced Gaussian process model to obtain true density estimates from two corresponding…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-23 Bryn Noel Ubald , Pranay Seshadri , Andrew Duncan

Penalized transformation models (PTMs) are a semiparametric location-scale regression family that estimate a response's conditional distribution directly from the data, and model the location and scale through structured additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Thomas Kneib

We present nonparametric techniques for constructing and verifying density estimates from high-dimensional data whose irregular dependence structure cannot be modelled by parametric multivariate distributions. A low-dimensional…

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-02 Susan M. Buchman , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Fernández-Durán , J. J. , Gregorio-Domínguez , M. M