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We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-12 Rick Bebon , Aljaž Godec

Let $\tau(x)$ be the epoch of first entry into the interval $(x,\infty)$, $x>0$, of the reflected process $Y$ of a L\'evy process $X$, and define the overshoot $Z(x) = Y(\tau(x))-x$ and undershoot $z(x) = x - Y(\tau(x)-)$ of $Y$ at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Aleksandar Mijatović , Martijn Pistorius

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

Let X_t be a subordinate Brownian motion, and suppose that the Levy measure of the underlying subordinator has completely monotone density. Under very mild conditions, we find integral formulae for the tail distribution P(\tau_x > t) of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Mateusz Kwasnicki , Jacek Malecki , Michal Ryznar

Consider a sequence (Z_n,Z_n^M) of bivariate L\'evy processes, such that Z_n is a spectrally positive L\'evy process with finite variation, and Z_n^M is the counting process of marks in {0,1} carried by the jumps of Z_n. The study of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Cécile Delaporte

First passage under restart has recently emerged as a conceptual framework to study various stochastic processes under restart mechanism. Emanating from the canonical diffusion problem by Evans and Majumdar, restart has been shown to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-01 Ofek Lauber Bonomo , Arnab Pal

The reflected process of a random walk or L\'evy process arises in many areas of applied probability, and a question of particular interest is how the tail of the distribution of the heights of the excursions away from zero behaves…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 R. A. Doney , Philip S. Griffin

We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper, we give a sufficient condition for transience for a class of one-dimensional symmetric L\'evy processes. More precisely, we prove that a one-dimensional symmetric L\'evy process with the L\'evy measure $\nu(dy)=f(y)dy$ or…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-22 Nikola Sandrić

We determine the large exceedance probabilities and large exceedance paths for the matrix recursive sequence $V_n = M_n V_{n-1} + Q_n, \: n=1,2,\ldots,$ where $\{M_n\}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of $d \times d$ random matrices and $\{ Q_n\}$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-19 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Sebastian Mentemeier

The presence of temporal correlations in random movement trajectories is a widespread phenomenon across biological, chemical and physical systems. The ubiquity of persistent and anti-persistent motion in many natural and synthetic systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-03 Daniel Marris , Luca Giuggioli

First-passage time problems are ubiquitous across many fields of study including transport processes in semiconductors and biological synapses, evolutionary game theory and percolation. Despite their prominence, first-passage time…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-01 Wilhelm Braun , Rüdiger Thul

Takeda-Yano determined the limit of L\'{e}vy processes conditioned to avoid zero via various random clocks in terms of Doob's $h$-transform, where the limit processes may differ according to the choice of random clocks. The purpose of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Shosei Takeda

Consider the problem to explicitly calculate the law of the first passage time T(a) of a general Levy process Z above a positive level a. In this paper it is shown that the law of T(a) can be approximated arbitrarily closely by the laws of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. R. Pistorius

We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

Let us consider a real L\'evy process X whose transition probabilities are absolutely continuous and have bounded densities. Then the law of the past supremum of X before any deterministic time t is absolutely continuous on (0,\infty). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Loïc Chaumont , Jacek Malecki

This paper provides an exact simulation algorithm for the sampling from the joint law of the first-passage time, the undershoot and the overshoot of a subordinator crossing a non-increasing boundary. We prove that the running time of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Feng Lin , Aleksandar Mijatović

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density of a pure jump L\'evy process. The sample path is observed at $n$ discrete instants with fixed sampling interval. We construct a collection of estimators obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-01 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot

We consider a L\'evy process $Y(t)$ that is not permanently observed, but rather inspected at Poisson($\omega$) moments only, over an exponentially distributed time $T_\beta$ with parameter $\beta$. The focus lies on the analysis of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

In this work, we consider moments of exponential functionals of L\'{e}vy processes on a deterministic horizon. We derive two convolutional identities regarding these moments. The first one relates the complex moments of the exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Zbigniew Palmowski , Hristo Sariev , Mladen Savov