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We study time uncertainty-aware modeling of continuous-time dynamics of interacting objects. We introduce a new model that decomposes independent dynamics of single objects accurately from their interactions. By employing latent Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Çağatay Yıldız , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch

We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-29 Charles Gadd , Sara Wade , Akeel Shah , Dimitris Grammatopoulos

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to modelling nonlinear alignments of time series based on latent shared information. We apply the method to the real-world problem of finding common structure in the sensor data of wind turbines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-24 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian probabilistic latent variable model for multi-view anomaly detection, which is the task of finding instances that have inconsistent views. With the proposed model, all views of a non-anomalous instance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Makoto Yamada

High dimensional time series are endemic in applications of machine learning such as robotics (sensor data), computational biology (gene expression data), vision (video sequences) and graphics (motion capture data). Practical nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-07-26 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) provides a flexible approach for non-linear dimensionality reduction that has been widely applied. However, the current approach for training GP-LVMs is based on maximum likelihood, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-09 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. These models consist of observable and latent variables, which represent the observable data and the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-26 Keisuke Yamazaki

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

We consider the problem of learning parameters of latent variable models from mixed (continuous and ordinal) data with missing values. We propose a novel Bayesian Gaussian copula factor (BGCF) approach that is consistent under certain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Ruifei Cui , Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Perry Groot , Tom Heskes

We consider unsupervised classification by means of a latent multinomial variable which categorizes a scalar response into one of L components of a mixture model. This process can be thought as a hierarchical model with first level…

In this paper we present a fully Bayesian latent variable model which exploits conditional nonlinear(in)-dependence structures to learn an efficient latent representation. The latent space is factorized to represent shared and private…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Andreas Damianou , Carl Ek , Michalis Titsias , Neil Lawrence

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

We propose a new method for multivariate response regression and covariance estimation when elements of the response vector are of mixed types, for example some continuous and some discrete. Our method is based on a model which assumes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

Gaussian Process (GP) regression models typically assume that residuals are Gaussian and have the same variance for all observations. However, applications with input-dependent noise (heteroscedastic residuals) frequently arise in practice,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-27 Chunyi Wang , Radford M. Neal

This paper introduces a mathematical framework of a stochastic process model as a generalization of diffusion stochastic processes to model latent variables in categorical responses given unobserved random effects and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Mahdi Mollakazemiha

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Circular time series has received relatively little attention in statistics and modeling complex circular time series using the state space approach is non-existent in the literature. In this article we introduce a flexible Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Satyaki Mazumder , Sourabh Bhattacharya