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In the present paper we consider the varying coefficient model which represents a useful tool for exploring dynamic patterns in many applications. Existing methods typically provide asymptotic evaluation of precision of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-07 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

We study the convergence properties of a collapsed Gibbs sampler for Bayesian vector autoregressions with predictors, or exogenous variables. The Markov chain generated by our algorithm is shown to be geometrically ergodic regardless of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

In this contribution we introduce weakly locally stationary time series through the local approximation of the non-stationary covariance structure by a stationary one. This allows us to define autoregression coefficients in a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

We deal with Bayesian inference for Beta autoregressive processes. We restrict our attention to the class of conditionally linear processes. These processes are particularly suitable for forecasting purposes, but are difficult to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 R. Casarin , L. Dalla Valle , F. Leisen

We establish the asymptotic behaviour of the sum of squared residuals autocovariances and autocorrelations for the class of multi-variate power transformed asymmetric models. We then derive a portmanteau test. We establish the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Othman Kadmiri , Bruno Saussereau

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

Multiple-subject network data are fast emerging in recent years, where a separate connectivity matrix is measured over a common set of nodes for each individual subject, along with subject covariates information. In this article, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Jingfei Zhang , Will Wei Sun , Lexin Li

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

The machine learning random Fourier feature method for data in high dimension is computationally and theoretically attractive since the optimization is based on a convex standard least squares problem and independent sampling of Fourier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Xin Huang , Aku Kammonen , Anamika Pandey , Mattias Sandberg , Erik von Schwerin , Anders Szepessy , Raúl Tempone

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the autocovariance sequence resulting from a reversible Markov chain. A motivating application for studying this problem is the estimation of the asymptotic variance in central limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Stephen Berg , Hyebin Song

The objective of this work is to propose an asymptotic correction method for the estimators of parameters from regression models with covariates subject to classification errors. A correction was developed based on the least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Alexandre Garcia Dias , Mariana Rodrigues Motta , Alexandre Hild Aono

We review autoregressive models for the analysis of multivariate count time series. In doing so, we discuss the choice of a suitable distribution for a vectors of count random variables. This review focus on three main approaches taken for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Konstantinos Fokianos

We study pathwise invariances of centred random fields that can be controlled through the covariance. A result involving composition operators is obtained in second-order settings, and we show that various path properties including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant , Nicolas Durrande

We study the asymptotic behavior of short cycles of random permutations with cycle weights. More specifically, on a specially constructed metric space whose elements encode all possible cycles, we consider a point process containing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko

We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

A recursive approach for shrinking coefficients of an atomic decomposition is proposed. The corresponding algorithm evolves so as to provide at each iteration a) the orthogonal projection of a signal onto a reduced subspace and b) the index…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2009-11-10 M. Andrle , L. Rebollo-Neira , E. Sagianos