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In this paper some reflections on the concept of transition are presented: groupoids are introduced as models for the construction of a ``generalized logic'' whose basic statements involve pairs of propositions which can be conditioned. In…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-08-02 Florio M. Ciaglia aand Fabio Di Cosmo

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Processes having the same bridges are said to belong to the same reciprocal class. In this article we analyze reciprocal classes of Markov counting processes by identifying their reciprocal invariants and we characterize them as the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard , Rüdiger Murr , Sylvie Roelly

The Hamiltonian description of classical gauge theories is a very well studied subject. The two best known approaches, namely the covariant and canonical Hamiltonian formalisms have received a lot of attention in the literature. However, a…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2024-02-01 Alejandro Corichi , Juan D. Reyes , Tatjana Vukasinac

We show that non-relativistic Quantum Mechanics can be faithfully represented in terms of a classical diffusion process endowed with a gauge symmetry of group Z_4. The representation is based on a quantization condition for the realized…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-23 Claudio Albanese

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

Canonical duality-triality is a breakthrough methodological theory, which can be used not only for modeling complex systems within a unified framework, but also for solving a wide class of challenging problems from real-world applications.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-27 David Y Gao , Ning Ruan , Vittorio Latorre

For general non-Gaussian distributions, the covariance and precision matrices do not encode the independence structure of the variables, as they do for the multivariate Gaussian. This paper builds on previous work to show that for a class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Ujas Shah , Manuel Lladser , Rebecca Morrison

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Projection matrices are necessary for a large portion of rendering computer graphics. There are primarily two different types of projection matrices -- perspective and orthographic -- which are used frequently, and are traditionally treated…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-08-23 S. J. D. MacIntosh

We introduce a conceptually novel structured prediction model, GPstruct, which is kernelized, non-parametric and Bayesian, by design. We motivate the model with respect to existing approaches, among others, conditional random fields (CRFs),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-16 Sebastien Bratieres , Novi Quadrianto , Zoubin Ghahramani

We study stochastic processes in which the trajectories are constrained so that the process realises a large deviation of the unconstrained process. In particular we consider stochastic bridges and the question of inequivalence of path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-15 J. Szavits-Nossan , M. R. Evans

We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: (1) a scale mixture of normals with respect to an alpha-stable random…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Jesse Windle

The process $(G_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ is referred to as a fractional Gaussian process if the first-order partial derivative of the difference between its covariance function and that of the fractional Brownian motion $(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T ]}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Yong Chen , Ying Li

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

The tacnode process is a universal behavior arising in nonintersecting particle systems and tiling problems. For Dyson Brownian bridges, the tacnode process describes the grazing collision of two packets of walkers. We consider such a Dyson…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Robert Buckingham , Karl Liechty

The Gaussian process (GP) is a Bayesian nonparametric paradigm that is widely adopted for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in a number of safety-critical applications, including robotics, healthcare, as well as surveillance. The consistency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Jinwen Xu , Qin Lu , Georgios B. Giannakis

An alpha-Wiener bridge is a one-parameter generalization of the usual Wiener bridge, where the parameter alpha>0 represents a mean reversion force to zero. We generalize the notion of alpha-Wiener bridges to continuous functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Matyas Barczy , Peter Kern

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli
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