English
Related papers

Related papers: Boundary crossing probabilities for diffusions wit…

200 papers

The aim of this paper is to study the law of the last passage time of a linear diffusion to a curved boundary. We start by giving a general expression for the density of such a random variable under some regularity assumptions. Following…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-26 Christophe Profeta

The paper presents new simple sharp bounds for transition density functions for time-homogeneous diffusions processes. The bounds are obtained under mild conditions on the drift and diffusion coefficients, extending and substantially…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-08 Andrew N. Downes

In this contribution we derive an explicit formula for the boundary non-crossing probabilities for Slepian processes associated with the piecewise linear boundary function. This formula is used to develop an approximation formula to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Pingjin Deng

We propose a method for estimating first passage time densities of one-dimensional diffusions via Monte Carlo simulation. Our approach involves a representation of the first passage time density as expectation of a functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Constantinos Kardaras

We prove convergence of symmetric diffusions on Wiener spaces by using stopping times arguments and capacity techniques. The drifts of the diffusions can be singular, we require the densities of the processes to be neither bounded from…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrea Posilicano , Tusheng Zhang

This paper proposes a widely applicable method of approximate maximum-likelihood estimation for multivariate diffusion process from discretely sampled data. A closed-form asymptotic expansion for transition density is proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Chenxu Li

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

In this paper, we investigate the construction of a diffusion process whose time-marginal densities are constrained to belong to a given set at all time. The construction is obtained from a penalization approximation to the constraint set,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-20 Jean-Francois Jabir

This paper uses Lie symmetry methods to analyze boundary crossing probabilities for a large class of diffusion processes. We show that if Fokker--Planck--Kolmogorov equation has non-trivial Lie symmetry, then boundary crossing identity…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Dmitry Muravey

We review the question of the extreme values attained by a random process. We relate it to level crossings either to one boundary (first-passage problems) and two boundaries (escape problems). The extremes studied are the maximum, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Jaume Masoliver

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

The aim of this paper is the rigorous derivation of a stochastic non-linear diffusion equation from a radiative transfer equation perturbed with a random noise. The proof of the convergence relies on a formal Hilbert expansion and the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Arnaud Debussche , Sylvain De Moor , Julien Vovelle

The problem of reconstructing the drift of a diffusion in $\erre^d$, $d\geq 2$, from the transition probability density observed outside a domain is considered. The solution of this problem also solves a new inverse problem for a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergio Albeverio , Carlo Marinelli

We establish a novel convergent iteration framework for a weak approximation of general switching diffusion. The key theoretical basis of the proposed approach is a restriction of the maximum number of switching so as to untangle and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

The maximum likelihood approach is adapted to the problem of estimation of drift and diffusion functions of stochastic processes from measured time series. We reconcile a previously devised iterative procedure [Kleinhans et al., Physics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich

With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

The probability density is a fundamental quantity for characterizing diffusion processes. However, it is seldom known except in a few renowned cases, including Brownian motion and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and their bridges, geometric…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Alain Mazzolo

In this paper, we introduce a new method of sampling from transition densities of diffusion processes including those unknown in closed forms by solving a partial differential equation satisfied by the quotient of transition densities. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Yasin Kikabi , Juma Kasozi

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

Consider the sample path of a one-dimensional diffusion for which the diffusion coefficient is given and where the drift may take on one of two values: $\mu_0$ or $\mu_1$. Suppose that the signal-to-noise ratio (defined as the difference…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Philip Ernst , Hongwei Mei