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We present new theoretical and empirical results on the probability distributions of species persistence times in natural ecosystems. Persistence times, defined as the timespans occurring between species' colonization and local extinction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-21 S. Suweis , E. Bertuzzo , L. Mari , I. Rodriguez-Iturbe , A. Maritan , A. Rinaldo

The influence that intrinsic local density fluctuations can have on solutions of mean-field reaction-diffusion models is investigated numerically by means of the spatial patterns arising from two species that react and diffuse in the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Hochberg , M. -P. Zorzano , F. Moran

We investigate the effects of a time-correlated noise on an extended chaotic system. The chosen model is the Lorenz'96, a kind of "toy" model used for climate studies. Through the analysis of the system's time evolution and its time and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jorge A. Revelli , Miguel A. Rodriguez , Horacio S. Wio

A two-species spatially extended system of hosts and parasitoids is studied. There are two distinct kinds of coexistence; one with populations distributed homogeneously in space and another one with spatiotemporal patterns. In the latter…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 Matti Peltomaki , Martin Rost , Mikko Alava

Dry-land ecosystem has turned into a matter of grave concern, due to growing threat of land degradation and bioproductivity-loss. Self-organized vegetation patterns are a remarkable characteristic of these ecosystems; apart from being…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-27 Mrinal Kanti Pal , Swarup Poria

Ecologists have put forward many explanations for coexistence, but these are only partial explanations; nature is complex, so it is reasonable to assume that in any given ecological community, multiple mechanisms of coexistence are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-21 Evan Johnson , Alan Hastings

The astrophysical stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) is mostly produced from unresolved stellar binary mergers, and the number of events at any moment of time is expected to be Poisson-distributed. The event rate is governed by…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-04-22 Suvodip Mukherjee , Joseph Silk

A landfill represents a complex and dynamically evolving structure that can be stochastically perturbed by exogenous factors. Both thermodynamic (equilibrium) and time varying (non-steady state) properties of a landfill are affected by…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-06-06 Amit Kumar Chattopadhyay , Prasanta Kumar Dey , Sadhan Kumar Ghosh

The theory of alternative stable states and tipping points has garnered substantial attention in the last several decades. It predicts potential critical transitions from one ecosystem state to a completely different state under increasing…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2024-09-11 Swarnendu Banerjee , Mara Baudena , Paul Carter , Robbin Bastiaansen , Arjen Doelman , Max Rietkerk

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

In this paper I will review some basic aspects of the mechanism of stochastic resonance. Stochastic resonance was first introduced as a possible mechanism to explain long term climatic variation. Since then, there have been many…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-23 Roberto Benzi

Radiative forcing drives warming in the Earth system, leading to changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and associated radiative feedbacks. The link between changes in the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) net radiative flux and SST patterns,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Fabrizio Falasca , Aurora Basinski-Ferris , Laure Zanna , Ming Zhao

Stochastic fluid dynamics governs the long time tails of hydrodynamic correlation functions, and the critical slowing down of relaxation phenomena in the vicinity of a critical point in the phase diagram. In this work we study the role of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-02-03 Jingyi Chao , Thomas Schaefer

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

Inspired by spatiotemporal observations from satellites of the trajectories of objects drifting near the surface of the ocean in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's `Global Drifter Program', this paper develops data-driven…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-19 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

Spatio-temporal processes in environmental applications are often assumed to follow a Gaussian model, possibly after some transformation. However, heterogeneity in space and time might have a pattern that will not be accommodated by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-15 Thaís C. O. da Fonseca , Viviana G. R. Lobo , Alexandra M. Schmidt

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Vegetation in semi-arid environments self-organizes into striking spatial patterns -- bands, spots, labyrinths, and gaps -- with characteristic wavelengths on the order of tens to hundreds of meters. Existing reaction-diffusion models…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2026-04-06 Chad M. Topaz

The developing field of stochastic thermodynamics extends concepts of macroscopic thermodynamics such as entropy production and work to the microscopic level of individual trajectories taken by a system through phase space. The scheme…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-30 Cillian Cockrell , Ian J Ford

Forest-savanna bistability - the hypothesis that forests and savannas exist as alternative stable states in the tropics - and its implications are key challenges for mathematical modelers and ecologists in the context of ongoing climate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Kimberly Shen , Simon Levin , Denis D. Patterson