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In this brief paper we find computable exponential convergence rates for a large class of stochastically ordered Markov processes. We extend the result of Lund, Meyn, and Tweedie (1996), who found exponential convergence rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Julia Gaudio , Saurabh Amin , Patrick Jaillet

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

We prove that for a so-called sticky process $S$ there exists an equivalent probability $Q$ and a $Q$-martingale $\tilde{S}$ that is arbitrarily close to $S$ in $L^p(Q)$ norm. For continuous $S$, $\tilde{S}$ can be chosen arbitrarily close…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-03 Miklós Rásonyi , Hasanjan Sayit

We consider a branching Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We prove that there exists a random subset $\Theta$ of $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}$ such that the limit of the derivative martingale exists simultaneously for all directions $\theta \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Roman Stasiński , Julien Berestycki , Bastien Mallein

This paper develops systematically the stochastic calculus via regularization in the case of jump processes. In particular one continues the analysis of real-valued c\`adl\`ag weak Dirichlet processes with respect to a given filtration.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Elena Bandini , Francesco Russo

We show that for a quantum $L^p$-martingale $(X(t))$, $p>2$, there exists a Doob-Meyer decomposition of the submartingale $(|X(t)|^2)$. A noncommutative counterpart of a classical process continuous with probability one is introduced, and a…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrzej Luczak

We approximate stochastic processes in finite dimension by dynamical systems. We provide trajectorial estimates which are uniform with respect to the initial condition for a well chosen distance. This relies on some non-expansivity property…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-11 Vincent Bansaye

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

The computation of the matrix exponential is a ubiquitous operation in numerical mathematics, and for a general, unstructured $n\times n$ matrix it can be computed in $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ operations. An interesting problem arises if the input…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Daniel Kressner , Robert Luce

We study a stochastically perturbed version of the well-known Krasnoselski--Mann iteration for computing fixed points of nonexpansive maps in finite dimensional normed spaces. We discuss sufficient conditions on the stochastic noise and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mario Bravo , Roberto Cominetti

In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan , Feridun Turkman

In this paper we consider the classical differential equations of Hodgkin and Huxley and a natural refinement of them to include a layer of stochastic behavior, modeled by a large number of finite-state-space Markov processes coupled to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Tim D. Austin

We characterize the event of convergence of a local supermartingale. Conditions are given in terms of its predictable characteristics and quadratic variation. The notion of extended local integrability plays a key role. We then apply these…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf

An analogue of the Fourier transform will be introduced for all square integrable continuous martingale processes whose quadratic variation is deterministic. Using this transform we will formulate and prove a stochastic Heisenberg…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 C. Mueller , A. Stan

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

Under a complex technical condition, similar to such used in extreme value theory, we find the rate q(\epsilon)^{-1} at which a stochastic process with stationary increments \xi should be sampled, for the sampled process \xi(\lfloor\cdot…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. M. P. Albin

Dilative semistability extends the notion of semi-selfsimilarity for infinitely divisible stochastic processes by introducing an additional scaling in the convolution exponent. It is shown that this scaling relation is a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Peter Kern , Lina Wedrich

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler , Eva Löcherbach