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We propose a framework combining detrended fluctuation analysis with standard regression methodology. The method is built on detrended variances and covariances and it is designed to estimate regression parameters at different scales and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

We study the price dynamics of stocks traded in the NASDAQ market by considering the statistical properties of an ensemble of stocks traded simultaneously. For each trading day of our database, we study the ensemble return distribution by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

The basis of arbitrage methods depends on the circulation of information within the framework of the financial market. Following the work of Modigliani and Miller, it has become a vital part of discussions related to the study of financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-12 Kiran Sharma , Abhijit Dutta , Rupak Mukherjee

The refractive index fluctuations in the connective tissue layer (stroma) of human cervical tissues having different grades of precancers (dysplasia) was quantified using a wavelet-based multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis model.…

Wavelets provide the flexibility to analyse stochastic processes at different scales. Here, we apply them to multivariate point processes as a means of detecting and analysing unknown non-stationarity, both within and across data streams.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Edward A. K. Cohen , Alexander J. Gibberd

Detrended fluctuation analysis is used to investigate power law relationship between the monthly averages of the maximum daily temperatures for different locations in the western US. On the map created by the power law exponents, we can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. L. Kurnaz

The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

What is the dominating mechanism of the price dynamics in financial systems is of great interest to scientists. The problem whether and how volatilities affect the price movement draws much attention. Although many efforts have been made,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-04 Lei Tan , Bo Zheng , Jun-Jie Chen , Xiong-Fei Jiang

We present a set of models of the main stylized facts of market price fluctuations. These models comprise dynamical evolution with threshold dynamics and Langevin price equation with multiplicative noise, percolation models to describe the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , D. Stauffer , H. Takayasu

The concept of multifractality offers a powerful formal tool to filter out multitude of the most relevant characteristics of complex time series. The related studies thus far presented in the scientific literature typically limit themselves…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-25 Stanisław Drożdż , Rafał Kowalski , Paweł Oświȩcimka , Rafał Rak , Robert Gȩbarowski

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jakša Cvitanić , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

Identifying behavior that is relatively invariant under different conditions is a challenging task in far-from-equilibrium complex systems. As an example of how the existence of a semi-invariant signature can be masked by the heterogeneity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-22 Abhijit Chakraborty , Soumya Easwaran , Sitabhra Sinha

The paper tackles the problem of deriving a topological structure among stock prices from high frequency historical values. Similar studies using low frequency data have already provided valuable insights. However, in those cases data need…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Donatello Materassi , Giacomo Innocenti

Based on the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) and on the Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima (WTMM) methods we investigate the origin of multifractality in the time series. Series fluctuating according to a qGaussian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

We analyze the statistics of daily price change of stock market in the framework of a statistical physics model for the collective fluctuation of stock portfolio. In this model the time series of price changes are coded into the sequences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jun-ichi Maskawa

Fluctuations in the return time statistics of a dynamical system can be described by a new spectrum of dimensions. Comparison with the usual multifractal analysis of measures is presented, and difference between the two corresponding sets…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Hadyn , J. Luevano , G. Mantica , S. Vaienti

The non-stationary dynamics of a bouncing ball, comprising of both periodic as well as chaotic behavior, is studied through wavelet transform. The multi-scale characterization of the time series displays clear signature of self-similarity,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Abhinna Kumar Behera , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , A. N. Sekar Iyengar

Markets have internal dynamics leading to excess volatility and other phenomena that are difficult to explain using rational expectations models. This paper studies these using a nonequilibrium price formation rule, developed in the context…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 J. Doyne Farmer

Most time series observed in practice exhibit time-varying trend (first-order) and autocovariance (second-order) behaviour. Differencing is a commonly-used technique to remove the trend in such series, in order to estimate the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Rebecca Killick , Matthew A. Nunes