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We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-25 Douglas Castilho , Tharsis T. P. Souza , Soong Moon Kang , João Gama , André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

We investigate the tendency for financial instruments to form clusters when there are multiple factors influencing the correlation structure. Specifically, we consider a stock portfolio which contains companies from different industrial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

The time proximity of trades across stocks reveals interesting topological structures of the equity market in the United States. In this article, we investigate how such concurrent cross-stock trading behaviors, which we denote as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Yutong Lu , Gesine Reinert , Mihai Cucuringu

Financial market is an example of complex system, which is characterized by a highly intricate organization and the emergence of collective behavior. In this paper, we quantify this emergent dynamics in the financial market by using…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Thomas Kauê Dal'Maso Peron , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

Multifractal analysis and extensive statistical tests are performed upon intraday minutely data within individual trading days for four stock market indexes (including HSI, SZSC, S&P500, and NASDAQ) to check whether the indexes (instead of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

We report evidence of a deep interplay between cross-correlations hierarchical properties and multifractality of New York Stock Exchange daily stock returns. The degree of multifractality displayed by different stocks is found to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-10 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Multifractality is ubiquitously observed in complex natural and socioeconomic systems. Multifractal analysis provides powerful tools to understand the complex nonlinear nature of time series in diverse fields. Inspired by its striking…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

We consider a large random network, in which the performance of a node depends upon that of its neighbours and some external random influence factors. This results in random vector valued fixed-point (FP) equations in large dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Indrajit Saha , Veeraruna Kavitha

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

We present a network-based framework for simulating systemic risk that considers shock propagation in banking systems. In particular, the framework allows the modeller to reflect a top-down framework where a shock to one bank in the system…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-13 Nadine M Walters , Conrad Beyers , Gusti van Zyl , Rolf van den Heever

Community detection methods can be used to explore the structure of complex systems. The well-known modular configurations in complex financial systems indicate the existence of community structures. Here we analyze the community properties…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Longfeng Zhao , Chao Wang , Gang-Jin Wang , H. Eugene Stanley , Lin Chen

Complex numbers define the relationship between entities in many situations. A canonical example would be the off-diagonal terms in a Hamiltonian matrix in quantum physics. Recent years have seen an increasing interest to extend the tools…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Yu Tian , Renaud Lambiotte

Big data and the use of advanced technologies are relevant topics in the financial market. In this context, complex networks became extremely useful in describing the structure of complex financial systems. In particular, the time evolution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-15 Paolo Bartesaghi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

The financial market is a complex dynamical system composed of a large variety of intricate relationships between several entities, such as banks, corporations and institutions. At the heart of the system lies the stock exchange mechanism,…

This paper analyzes correlations in patterns of trading of different members of the London Stock Exchange. The collection of strategies associated with a member institution is defined by the sequence of signs of net volume traded by that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Ilija I. Zovko , J. Doyne Farmer

Financial markets are a typical example of complex systems where interactions between constituents lead to many remarkable features. Here, we show that a pairwise maximum entropy model (or auto-logistic model) is able to describe switches…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

We propose here a multiplex network approach to investigate simultaneously different types of dependency in complex data sets. In particular, we consider multiplex networks made of four layers corresponding respectively to linear,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-16 Nicoló Musmeci , Vincenzo Nicosia , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo , Vito Latora

This article describes a complex network model whose weights are proportional to the difference between uniformly distributed ``fitness'' values assigned to the nodes. It is shown both analytically and experimentally that the strength…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Luciano da Fontoura Costa , Gonzalo Travieso

In the age of globalization, it is natural that the stock market of each country is not independent form the other markets. In this case, collective behavior could be emerged form their dependency together. This article studies the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 M. Saeedian , T. Jamali , M. Z. Kamali , H. Bayani , T. Yasseri , G. R. Jafari

Statistical physics of complex systems exploits network theory not only to model, but also to effectively extract information from many dynamical real-world systems. A pivotal case of study is given by financial systems: market prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Matteo Serafino , Andrea Gabrielli , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini