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Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

Autonomous systems often have logical constraints arising, for example, from safety, operational, or regulatory requirements. Such constraints can be expressed using temporal logic specifications. The system state is often partially…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Krishna C. Kalagarla , Dhruva Kartik , Dongming Shen , Rahul Jain , Ashutosh Nayyar , Pierluigi Nuzzo

This paper characterizes the optimal type-II error exponent for a distributed hypothesis testing-against-independence problem when the \emph{expected} rate of the sensor-detector link is constrained. Unlike for the well-known…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Sadaf Salehkalaibar , Michele Wigger

We consider a sequential problem in decentralized detection. Two observers can make repeated noisy observations of a binary hypothesis on the state of the environment. At any time, any of the two observers can stop and send a final message…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Ashutosh Nayyar , Demosthenis Teneketzis

This paper studies optimal hypothesis testing for nonregular econometric models with parameter-dependent support. We consider both one-sided and two-sided hypothesis testing and develop asymptotically uniformly most powerful tests based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Yuya Shimizu , Taisuke Otsu

This paper provides a statistical method to test whether a system that performs a binary sequential hypothesis test is optimal in the sense of minimizing the average decision times while taking decisions with given reliabilities. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Meik Dörpinghaus , Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

We present an optimization-based approach for trajectory planning and control of a maneuverable melting probe with a high number of binary control variables. The dynamics of the system are modeled by a set of ordinary differential equations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Christian Meerpohl , Kathrin Flaßkamp , Christof Büskens

High-dimensional tests are applied to find relevant sets of variables and relevant models. If variables are selected by analyzing the sums of products matrices and a corresponding mean-value test is performed, there is the danger that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Juergen Laeuter , Maciej Rosolowski , Ekkehard Glimm

This paper considers the problem of designing time-dependent, real-time control policies for controllable nonlinear diffusion processes, with the goal of obtaining maximally-informative observations about parameters of interest. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Giles Hooker , Kevin K. Lin , Bruce Rogers

Preferably in two- or three-arm randomized clinical trials, a few (2,3) correlated multiple primary endpoints are considered. In addition to the closed testing principle based on different global tests, two max(maxT) tests are compared with…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Ludwig A. Hothorn , Siegfried Kropf

We study the Chernoff-Stein exponent of the following binary hypothesis testing problem: Associated with each hypothesis is a set of channels. A transmitter, without knowledge of the hypothesis, chooses the vector of inputs to the channel.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Eeshan Modak , Neha Sangwan , Mayank Bakshi , Bikash Kumar Dey , Vinod M. Prabhakaran

In online multiple testing, an a priori unknown number of hypotheses are tested sequentially, i.e. at each time point a test decision for the current hypothesis has to be made using only the data available so far. Although many powerful…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Vincent Jankovic , Lasse Fischer , Werner Brannath

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu

The trade-off of hypothesis tests on the correlated privacy hypothesis and utility hypothesis is studied. The error exponent of the Bayesian composite hypothesis test on the privacy or utility hypothesis can be characterized by the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Zuxing Li , Tobias J. Oechtering

In this paper, we consider sequential testing over a single-sensor, a single-decision center setup. At each time instant $t$, the sensor gets $k$ samples $(k>0)$ and describes the observed sequence until time $t$ to the decision center over…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Sadaf Salehkalaibar , Vincent Y. F. Tan

This paper presents a new approach to Model Predictive Control for environments where essential, discrete variables are partially observed. Under this assumption, the belief state is a probability distribution over a finite number of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Camille Phiquepal , Marc Toussaint

In this paper we consider the problem of multiple testing when the hypotheses are dependent. In most of the existing literature, either Bayesian or non-Bayesian, the decision rules mainly focus on the validity of the test procedure rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Noirrit K. Chandra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The ultimate limits of quantum state discrimination are often thought to be captured by asymptotic bounds that restrict the achievable error probabilities, notably the quantum Chernoff and Hoeffding bounds. Here we study hypothesis testing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Kaiyuan Ji , Bartosz Regula

Agents acting in the natural world aim at selecting appropriate actions based on noisy and partial sensory observations. Many behaviors leading to decision mak- ing and action selection in a closed loop setting are naturally phrased within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-30 Alex Susemihl , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we analyze approximations to the non-asymptotic fundamental limits of statistical classification. In the binary version of this problem, given two training sequences generated according…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani
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