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US Presidential Election 2012 has been a very tight race between the two key candidates. There were intense battle between the two key candidates. The election reflects the sentiment of the electorate towards the achievements of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-13 Murphy Choy , Michelle Cheong , Ma Nang Laik , Koo Ping Shung

Political sectarianism is fueled in part by misperceptions of political opponents: People commonly overestimate the support for extreme policies among members of the other party. Research suggests that correcting partisan misperceptions by…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Douglas Markant , Subham Sah , Alireza Karduni , Milad Rogha , My Thai , Wenwen Dou

Independent sociological polls are forbidden in Belarus. Online polls performed without sound scientific rigour do not yield representative results. Yet, both inside and outside Belarus it is of great importance to obtain precise estimates…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-15 Ales Zahorski

Several elections run in the last years have been characterized by attempts to manipulate the result of the election through the diffusion of fake or malicious news over social networks. This problem has been recognized as a critical issue…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Vincenzo Auletta , Francesco Carbone , Diodato Ferraioli

We study positional voting rules when candidates and voters are embedded in a common metric space, and cardinal preferences are naturally given by distances in the metric space. In a positional voting rule, each candidate receives a score…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Yu Cheng , Shaddin Dughmi , David Kempe

The only acceptable form of polling in the multi-billion dollar survey research field utilizes representative samples. We argue that with proper statistical adjustment, non-representative polling can provide accurate predictions, and often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 David Rothschild , Sharad Goel , Andrew Gelman , Doug Rivers

Russian propaganda outlet RT (formerly, Russia Today) produces content in seven languages. There is ample evidence that RT's communication techniques differ for different language audiences. In this article, we offer the first comprehensive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Daniel Matter , Elizaveta Kuznetsova , Victoria Vziatysheva , Ilaria Vitulano , Juergen Pfeffer

In the evolving voter model, when an individual interacts with a neighbor having an opinion different from theirs, they will with probability $1-\alpha$ imitate the neighbor but with probability $ \alpha$ will sever the connection and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Anirban Basak , Rick Durrett , Yuan Zhang

We introduce and study isomorphic distances between ordinal elections (with the same numbers of candidates and voters). The main feature of these distances is that they are invariant to renaming the candidates and voters, and two elections…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Piotr Faliszewski , Piotr Skowron , Arkadii Slinko , Krzysztof Sornat , Stanisław Szufa , Nimrod Talmon

We provide mechanisms and new metric distortion bounds for line-up elections. In such elections, a set of $n$ voters, $m$ candidates, and $\ell$ positions are all located in a metric space. The goal is to choose a set of candidates and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Christopher Jerrett , Yue Han , Elliot Anshelevich

We develop a means to detect ongoing per-country anomalies in the daily usage metrics of the Tor anonymous communication network, and demonstrate the applicability of this technique to identifying likely periods of internet censorship and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Joss Wright , Alexander Darer , Oliver Farnan

This study explores the relationship between voter trust and their experiences during elections by applying a rule-based data mining technique to the 2022 Survey of the Performance of American Elections (SPAE). Using the Apriori algorithm…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Md Al Jubair , Mohammad Shamsul Arefin , Ahmed Wasif Reza

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Goodness-of-fit tests gauge whether a given set of observations is consistent (up to expected random fluctuations) with arising as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) draws from a user-specified probability distribution known…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-28 Jacob Carruth , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

The Bradley effect concerns the discrepancy between opinion polls and actual election outcomes that emerges when candidates do not exhibit ideological, sexual or racial mainstream features. This effect was first observed during the 1982…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Luca Gamberi , Pierpaolo Vivo , Yanik-Pascal Förster , Evan Tzanis , Alessia Annibale

We study the utilitarian distortion of social choice mechanisms under the recently proposed learning-augmented framework where some (possibly unreliable) predicted information about the preferences of the agents is given as input. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Georgios Kalantzis , Alexandros A. Voudouris

Brexit, a global pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and record inflation - few legislative bodies have faced such a cascade of shocks as the European Parliament did during its 9th term (2019-2024). Using the Bipartite Configuration…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-08 Sebastiao Rosalino , António Curado , Flávio L. Pinheiro

Consider an undirected graph G, representing a social network, where each node is blue or red, corresponding to positive or negative opinion on a topic. In the voter model, in discrete time rounds, each node picks a neighbour uniformly at…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Abhiram Manohara , Ahad N. Zehmakan

In the US 2008 presidential election, Barack Obama was elected as the 44th president of United States, winning the 53% of popular votes and 68% of electoral votes; in the election of 2000, Al Gore lost the election receiving 49 % of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-09 Bih-Yaw Jin

We consider two symmetry metrics commonly used to analyze partisan gerrymandering: the Mean-Median Difference (MM) and Partisan Bias (PB). Our main results compare, for combinations of seats and votes achievable in districted elections, the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Daryl DeFord , Ellen Veomett